Saint Mary's Favored by 2.5 Points Over A&M

3,496 Views | 21 Replies | Last: 14 hrs ago by Rec
mikesyracuse1
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7:03p, 3/15/26
Opening Consensus Line
Aggies +2.5
Total is 148.5

Here we go. First Postseason appearance for the Aggies under Bucky. We just need to flush that Nashville trip and hope the extra rest will help to get the W in Oklahoma City. I expect Bucky to tighten up the rotation and let's see what happens.

Let's Go!
Just Win!

Mikesyracuse1
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Texagshc
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7:04p, 3/15/26
AG
Is Maryland going to the dance?
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Method Man
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7:24p, 3/15/26
Thinkll it go down or up?
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Rule#2
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In reply to Method Man • 7:27p, 3/15/26
AG
It's going to go up when I drop about eleventy billion on Ags ML
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halfastros81
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8:07p, 3/15/26
AG
I wouldn't expect the line to move much. The spread is almost exactly what Torvik predicts.

This is one thing I think about, they are 2-5 vs tourney entries. We are 4-9 vs tourney entries . Similar % but does the fact that we have played almost double their number of tourney entries matter? The old iron sharpens iron argument. We'll find out on Thursday .
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Rec
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8:09p, 3/15/26
AG
I'm all in
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O_AG99
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10:35p, 3/15/26
AG
As we should be.
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WallyWonka
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5:45a, 3/16/26
AG

I like we're not favored (as we are the lower seed--we shouldn't). I like our chances.
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mikesyracuse1
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1:58p, 3/16/26
Consensus line has moved to Aggies +3.5

Mikesyracuse1
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Method Man
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2:03p, 3/16/26
+3.5?
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mikesyracuse1
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In reply to Method Man • 2:06p, 3/16/26
Method Man said:
+3.5?


Whoops. Sorry method, I had typed SMC -3.5 first and switched to Aggies.

Corrected
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Ags06Win
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2:24p, 3/16/26
AG
It'll be +5 by game time.

Their size inside could be a problem…

Come on Ags… Hit 15 3's and pull off the upset!
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Wabs
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2:30p, 3/16/26
AG
We're beating St Mary's and UH. Calling it now. Bucky ball is here.
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NyAggie
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In reply to Ags06Win • 2:46p, 3/16/26
AG
Ags06Win said:
It'll be +5 by game time.

Their size inside could be a problem…

Come on Ags… Hit 15 3's and pull off the upset!


Yep

Sharps who know ball may put their money on st marys

I'm not feeling this matchup for us, but you never know because we could get hot from 3
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Heineken-Ashi
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3:00p, 3/16/26
Watched some of their games. The starting 7 footer is a decent passer and good rebounder. But his skill is entirely his height. He's a slow, lumbering liability if you can get him away from the basket. I'm not sure he's faced a dawg like Agee all season.

Their shooters scare me more than their size. Becuase they attempt to work inside out, if we aren't disciplined, I could see a lot of kick out threes.

Pretty simple.. we arent going to out rebound them. But we are faster and more athletic. We can create shots. If we hit them, we put them on their heels and force them out of the game they want to play. If we don't, it could be a long game.
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NyAggie
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In reply to Heineken-Ashi • 3:43p, 3/16/26
AG
Heineken-Ashi said:
Watched some of their games. The starting 7 footer is a decent passer and good rebounder. But his skill is entirely his height. He's a slow, lumbering liability if you can get him away from the basket. I'm not sure he's faced a dawg like Agee all season.

Their shooters scare me more than their size. Becuase they attempt to work inside out, if we aren't disciplined, I could see a lot of kick out threes.

Pretty simple.. we arent going to out rebound them. But we are faster and more athletic. We can create shots. If we hit them, we put them on their heels and force them out of the game they want to play. If we don't, it could be a long game.



A big key might be Agee hitting early on one or two 3's to force their big guy away from the basket
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phorizt
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4:28p, 3/16/26
They have big guys but they can barely move. The Lithuanian PF is good but the 7 footers are very unathletic. In 4 games vs what I would consider the "high major" caliber teams on their schedule(Gonzaga, Vandy and VT) they were outrebounded in 3 of the 4. The one team they edged out in rebounding was Virginia Tech who is smaller and a worse rebounding team than us. I think the rebounding advantage is smaller than it is being made out to be.
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taylorswift13_
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In reply to phorizt • 4:50p, 3/16/26
AG
Exaclty Agee and Clemence can put the ball on the floor and get by them! I expect a couple Agee spin cycles on Thursday! Do they leave one of their bigs on the perimeter against Clemence or pull their huge slow bigs out on him!
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taylorswift13_
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4:56p, 3/16/26
AG
According to brackets, we're the second most picked seeded upset behind 10 seed Mizzou
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GrayMatter
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In reply to taylorswift13_ • 5:00p, 3/16/26
AG
taylorswift13_ said:
According to brackets, we're the second most picked seeded upset behind 10 seed Mizzou

rule #1 or it didn't happen
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NyAggie
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In reply to taylorswift13_ • 5:03p, 3/16/26
AG
taylorswift13_ said:
According to brackets, we're the second most picked seeded upset behind 10 seed Mizzou


Considering its. A 7/10 game with only a 3 point spread to hat makes sense

I don't usually count 7/10 and 8:9 games as upsetts
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Rec
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1:14p, 3/17/26
AG
I would still take 5 vs the St Marys Fairies
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