Looks like Laxalt is likely to lose in Nevada.

Just like Boeberts campaign.

There's a reason Kari Lake's challenger was so confined she would defeat Kari.

This guy......

if dems take the nevada seat walker is dead in the water

kemp dragged him to a runoff by distancing himself from trump. and if electing walker makes no difference to who controls the senate then the people who held their nose to vote for him will have nothing to gain by it.

FrioAg 00 said:

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Arizona and Nevada also are going completely counter-trend, where everywhere else hispanic vote is shifting right big time. But not in these areas.

It's shady as F

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California?

They act like Nevada is their dominion, and hammer on and on about the scorecard. But if they're going to count like a mule they might as well be some sort of waiter or server in Germany. They'd best get kraken.

FrioAg 00 said:

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Arizona and Nevada also are going completely counter-trend, where everywhere else hispanic vote is shifting right big time. But not in these areas.

It's shady as F

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Is everywhere else Miami/Florida? What was the shift overall from the last few elections for the Hispanic vote, and in the venue in question? It's totally shady as F, but if the actual numbers help ahead we might as well include them along with the conclusion.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/11/11/latinos-support-democrats-over-republicans-2-1-in-house-and-senate-elections/amp/

Right, my bad. The actual numbers look shady as F given the conclusion previously reached.
They wouldn't have been helpful.

FrioAg 00 said:

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Arizona and Nevada also are going completely counter-trend, where everywhere else hispanic vote is shifting right big time. But not in these areas.

It's shady as F

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Actually that's not true there is data from Hispanic counties in Arizona that are +5% higher this election for Republicans. The more data we get thr more ot is obvious Trump backed canadites underperformed their in state Republicans

FrioAg 00 said:

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Arizona and Nevada also are going completely counter-trend, where everywhere else hispanic vote is shifting right big time. But not in these areas.

It's shady as F

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So I've been digging deeper, and it appears that Laxalt may have even been up against a Latino, and she is the incumbent. Talk about shady as F.

Is that even fair? Still Laxalt is ahead. No need to panic just because the overall 5% shift isn't uniform in every state. There's probably an election fraud theory that can account for it. Possibly Venezuela a/k/a Sequoia's dominion fractional voting harvested by mules.

And that's the sophisticate view. Mimicking printer noises suffices for most.

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixgov/2022/11/11/latinos-support-democrats-over-republicans-2-1-in-house-and-senate-elections/amp/

Quote:

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. . .
Latinos comprised 1 in 5 of Nevada's electorate this fall, making the Latino vote critical to the surprisingly tight Senate race in the state featuring incumbent Cortez-Masto, the first Latina elected to the U.S. Senate. Nevada was a state where Democrats saw a slight but important gain in Latino support which may prove to be consequential in a too-close-to-call Senate race. Latinos supported Cortez-Masto to Republican nominee Adam Laxalt 63% to 35%, a margin which may prove to be enough to help the Latina senator keep her seat, if Latino turnout is sufficiently high.
. . .

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Wes97 said:

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Posted this on the wrong thread earlier, but here you go….

The GA runoff is still very important.

Manchin could still keep some crazy from passing. Hell Biden might piss him off again like he just did last week and cause Manchin to become independent and leave the Dem caucus. Crazier things have happened.

And let's be honest. There are a lot of old ass fossils in the senate. There could be a need for a Governor to make an appointment or call a special election to fill a vacant seat at any time.

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Agree. Further it becomes a solid red vote for 6 years and adds to what could be more Republican pickups in 2024 when I believe the Senate races favor Rs.

Basically at this point with the way things have gone you'd have a 50-50 Senate and a Republican controlled House. Better than what we have now.

Stop reading Twitter. Lots of misinfo right now. Laxalt can still win.

It always favors the democrat. Hmmm.

Every race matters.

Establishing a beachhead is always important. This could allow you to expand to other races in Georgia or neighboring states.

It forces the Democrats to be accountable. If they had 55 Senators, they can vote for some insane stuff. Now, it has to be palatable. And 100% of Democrats have to vote for it. It holds their feet to the fire.

You can't win every race, but you should try. Every seat you win is important.

California is still only 50% done reporting. I'd be more worried about the house seats there

Walker wins will maintain status quo, which is a real pia for democrats.

Walker loss makes it one squishy sinema/manchina vote easier for dems to pass what they want

itsyourboypookie said:

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California is still only 50% done reporting. I'd be more worried about the house seats there

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How can those house districts take sooooo long?

Some are still below 50% counted. They have 3 people working on it? It's absolutely absurd and there's nothing that could explain it that would make it less shady.

I guess it's them durn republicans in charge of elections in Nevada that are going to drag this thing out until the Republicans lose?

blacksox said:

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I guess it's them durn republicans in charge of elections in Nevada that are going to drag this thing out until the Republicans lose?

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Well well well

blacksox said:

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I guess it's them durn republicans in charge of elections in Nevada that are going to drag this thing out until the Republicans lose?

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This is the same logic you use to blame Republican governors for crime in the inner cities of their states.

HowdyTAMU said:

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There's a reason Kari Lake's challenger was so confined she would defeat Kari.

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The Laxalt race is a lot more sketchy than the Lake race IMO. The Laxalt race is likely tipping on all those last minute union votes in drop boxes, which are highly suspect.

In AZ, we only had the Lake campaign's word that all of the ED votes were going to go heavily their way. Lake/Masters had to perform extraordinarily well in those votes to pass, so it shouldn't be a big surprise if they don't hit those margins.

I think all of the mail in/ballot harvesting/drop off votes are inherently unsecure and vulnerable to fraud and political machine influence, but if AZ doesn't trend back to the right in these last votes IMO it's more about Lake campaign's wishful thinking/propaganda.

This country f-ing sucks. In the past, democrats ruining the country would keep the reasonable dem voters at home, or maybe even flip many of them red, because there wasn't such an ideological, cultural and theological chasm. Now it's pretty much a religion and I'm convinced we could hit truly tough times and the Dems would still come out in full force like the blind cult-like followers they are. If we fell into a Great Depression 2.0 in a year or two, they'd blame it on Trump…or just think we didn't go blue enough.

Honestly starting to wonder if keeping the borders wide open might be the only long term solution. People who do not believe men can get pregnant or that children should be able to get hormone blockers and double mastectomies or that you should be able to abort your child as it is being born need to outnumber the evil people who do, by any means necessary. Or we are toast and deserve an asteroid.

We are toast. Too many foreign cultures. And of course culture rot from things like rap music and a lot of sports stars.

SouthTex99 said:

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Even if Dems get 50 they still have a disgruntled Joe Manchin to contend with. Need to cap them at 50.

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They already have 51 it just has not been officially announced yet if you catch my drift.

BG Knocc Out said:

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This country f-ing sucks. In the past, democrats ruining the country would keep the reasonable dem voters at home, or maybe even flip many of them red, because there wasn't such an ideological, cultural and theological chasm. Now it's pretty much a religion and I'm convinced we could hit truly tough times and the Dems would still come out in full force like the blind cult-like followers they are. If we fell into a Great Depression 2.0 in a year or two, they'd blame it on Trump…or just think we didn't go blue enough.

Honestly starting to wonder if keeping the borders wide open might be the only long term solution. People who do not believe men can get pregnant or that children should be able to get hormone blockers and double mastectomies or that you should be able to abort your child as it is being born need to outnumber the evil people who do, by any means necessary. Or we are toast and deserve an asteroid.

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This is true. Now I see what your new thread really had in mind. This post actually shows your plane of mind on it a bit more clearly. Will take that into account in your open boarder other thread going forward. You have a real point about displacing degenerates. In the future range historical sense, it might make the most sense.

Patience! Cheating is not an overnight process.

BG Knocc Out said:

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This country f-ing sucks. In the past, democrats ruining the country would keep the reasonable dem voters at home, or maybe even flip many of them red, because there wasn't such an ideological, cultural and theological chasm. Now it's pretty much a religion and I'm convinced we could hit truly tough times and the Dems would still come out in full force like the blind cult-like followers they are. If we fell into a Great Depression 2.0 in a year or two, they'd blame it on Trump…or just think we didn't go blue enough.

Honestly starting to wonder if keeping the borders wide open might be the only long term solution. People who do not believe men can get pregnant or that children should be able to get hormone blockers and double mastectomies or that you should be able to abort your child as it is being born need to outnumber the evil people who do, by any means necessary. Or we are toast and deserve an asteroid.

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I've been predicting this for many years.

You guys are outnumbered......and I don't see anything changing that....unless the GOP puts up some great candidates like DeSantis.

Midterms during a Democratic Presidency have always been ripe for huge GOP gains in the House and Senate....especially going up against a weak POTUS like Biden.