Pew Research: 44 point swing in party affiliation for males age 18-29

3,519 Views | 37 Replies | Last: 16 days ago by MRB10
Fat Black Swan
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The new party affiliation poll released by Pew Research shows younger voters trending conservative. The next largest swings for Republicans were among 30-49 males and females age 18-29. The largest gain for Dems was in the 65+ male demographic with 65+ and 30-49 female demos also showing gains for the Dems.

The 18-29 male demo swing is pretty incredible.

2023 - D +26
2025 - R +18

Picard
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End women's suffrage!


Rapier108
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Quote:

The largest gain for Dems was in the 65+ male demographic...

Boomers thinking that the Republicans are going to take away their Social Security.

Same lie their parents and grandparents fell for for decades.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
rocky the dog
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Elections are when people find out what politicians stand for, and politicians find out what people will fall for.
Fat Black Swan
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If demos only get more conservative as they age, what does that mean for the Dems?
sam callahan
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I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.
Fat Black Swan
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sam callahan said:

I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.


It's related to media consumption. Older age groups rely on network and cable news. Younger age groups rely on alternative forms of media.

It's likely the primary reason the UK and Australia are working to ban social media access for teenagers.
Fat Black Swan
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Ag87H2O
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When you attack masculinity at every turn and spend year after year telling young men how terrible and worthless they are, what do you expect? Eventually they say fine, I don't need this garbage and I'm not going to support it.

Democrats finally crossed the Rubicon with their anti-male agenda, and at the same time Trump came in like a wrecking ball telling them screw you and showed young men you don't have to put up with their crap. He showed that being an unashamed alpha male is good. Calling out stupidity and winning is good. He's emboldened a generation of young men and shifted voting patterns perhaps for a generation.
96AgGrad
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After Biden's inflation spike you would think that seniors would be hesitant to trust their retirements to Democrats.
Invincible Aggie
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Given the policy differences, it is sad to see Boomers fulfill their reputation as a generation of draft dodging, bailout begging, open-borders demanding abortionists. Churchill was right about brain possession at that age though.
Fat Black Swan
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Ag87H2O said:

When you attack masculinity at every turn and spend year after year telling young men how terrible and worthless they are, what do you expect? Eventually they say fine, I don't need this garbage and I'm not going to support it.

Democrats finally crossed the Rubicon with their anti-male agenda, and at the same time Trump came in like a wrecking ball telling them screw you and showed young men you don't have to put up with their crap. He showed that being an unashamed alpha male is good. Calling out stupidity and winning is good. He's emboldened a generation of young men and shifted voting patterns perhaps for a generation.


The left has created a Trump egregore.

His policies are that of a 1980's or 1990's moderate, and he speaks in terms that blue collar workers can relate to.

The left controls every institution of upward mobility, but their hysterical overreaction to his rhetoric has created a reality where Trump isn't conservatism's last chance. They've just coalesced every demographic not aligned with their worldview against themselves.

Whatever comes after Trump is a creation of the left's own making.
Fat Black Swan
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If you haven't listened to Charlie Kirk's interview with Tucker Carlson, you should. Even if you think Tucker is a clown. Charlie gives a good background.

ToddyHill
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Quote:

After Biden's inflation spike you would think that seniors would be hesitant to trust their retirements to Democrats.

I'd be interested in knowing the net worth of those Seniors who have swung to the left. I suspect they don't have much of a nest egg and are blaming the R's for that.
Maroon Dawn
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Fat Black Swan said:

sam callahan said:

I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.


It's related to media consumption. Older age groups rely on network and cable news. Younger age groups rely on alternative forms of media.

It's likely the primary reason the UK and Australia are working to ban social media access for teenagers.


Gotta make sure their commie teachers can have an unopposed time campaigning for liberal candidates in the class room to influence these young idiot voters
Ellis Wyatt
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Fat Black Swan said:

sam callahan said:

I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.


It's related to media consumption. Older age groups rely on network and cable news. Younger age groups rely on alternative forms of media.

It's likely the primary reason the UK and Australia are working to ban social media access for teenagers.
This is correct. They're taking propaganda at face value. A person who wants to know the truth has to work to find it.

Everyone should start out understanding that the media is over 90% left wing and they're all propagandists. Because that's the truth. Believe nothing they have to say.
ts5641
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Young men, especially white young men, have been marginalized enough that they're waking up. Now women, that's another story altogether.
ts5641
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Fat Black Swan said:

If demos only get more conservative as they age, what does that mean for the Dems?

Hopefully it means the pendulum is swinging back and we get control of our country again. But never underestimate those ****ers. They are a devious, evil bunch and will stop at nothing for power.
Hubert J. Farnsworth
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What is wrong with the damn boomers? Women in my generation(millennials) are stupid.
Prosperdick
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ToddyHill said:

Quote:

After Biden's inflation spike you would think that seniors would be hesitant to trust their retirements to Democrats.

I'd be interested in knowing the net worth of those Seniors who have swung to the left. I suspect they don't have much of a nest egg and are blaming the R's for that.

I suppose that's a factor but it's because of legacy media telling them the R's are "getting rid of social security." As the poster above noted, they don't consume alternative media so they're only receiving one side of the story and it's completely biased.

Not only does the younger generation consume alternative media but they are naturally rebellious and if the "olds" are Dems and screech about Sydney Sweeney and other "progressive" ideas that are backwards, like men in women's sports, they're naturally going to take the opposite view.
SirDippinDots
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Picard said:

End women's suffrage!





Just take them off the Supreme Court and I will be happy.
I wish a buck was still silver, it was back, when the country was strong.
nortex97
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Notice this swing has happened largely since (a) Biden 'won' the 2020 election, and (b) Elon Musk bought twitter.

I think the power of free speech online and the debacle that was/is the Biden(*) sedition/invasion/presidency has pushed a lot of folks to the right (the fascism around Fauci flu probably helped too). If they'd been able to hang on for another 4 years they'd have imported so much trash America would have been unrecoverable. It's still a huge fight but at least we have some good indicators.
agracer
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sam callahan said:

I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.

Lots of them despise his lack of decorum, and his behavior. They don't see it a "presidential" and just can't pull the lever for him. Most of them come from a time when you still trusted the media and they don't do social media and still only watch the local and national news shows.
Secolobo
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Just think what it is after the sweeny ad.
Those younger guys have never seen anything like it.
doubledog
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Fat Black Swan said:

The new party affiliation poll released by Pew Research shows younger voters trending conservative. The next largest swings for Republicans were among 30-49 males and females age 18-29. The largest gain for Dems was in the 65+ male demographic with 65+ and 30-49 female demos also showing gains for the Dems.

The 18-29 male demo swing is pretty incredible.

2023 - D +26
2025 - R +18



For the Dems ... Karens and ex-Hippies... About right (or left).
halfastros81
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I can't really explain the small swings in boomers toward the D side other than SS /Medicare concerns which is indeed a giant lie . I can only say this after seeing the last clown show administration and their ineffective and destructive methods … how anyone in their right mind could believe the D's are better for America /Americans than the R's is a total mystery. I am very glad to see younger people trending toward that conclusion.

Hope the trend continues and hope the R's can be pushed/pulled towards eliminating federal overreach and towards fiscal responsibility.
95 Buzzbait
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One observation….my MIL is strong Dem/anti Trump….her husband the FIL always opposite….she always has the TV on CNN

Well, he is now HOME BOUND due to poor health (but mentally still there)….and he is stuck in front of the TV….literally

Last time I went to visit, all he did was complain about Trump….saying things he would never have said but his mind has been exposed to nothing but CNN
flyrancher
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sam callahan said:

I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.

Nope, they were solid RINOs! Never conservative.
flyrancher
Muktheduck
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Hopefully a wake up call to the many on this forum that do a lot of bashing on "generation zombie". The great irony is that so many boomers and X'ers long ago forfeited their minds over to mainstream media.

Time to consider that the reason you have so must disgust towards the younguns is precisely because they've swung so far right, and you're being propagandized to hate them

jja79
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sam callahan said:

I'm constantly shocked at the number of olds that I see that are deeply anti-Trump and have become democrats. Many were solid R votes before.


I live in a large retirement community and I know 1 person that's a democrat. He's a pariah in our neighborhood of several thousand people. Where are these old democrats?
halfastros81
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Not the case at all for me. I applaud the young's for seeing what seems to me to be obvious truth. I know a few leftist boomers …. Very few. I will admit they seem beyond salvaging . Driven by longstanding emotional bias rather than rationality. Very hard to undo that when they are 60+. My approach is just tell them I don't want to talk politics with them. They know why.
CanyonAg77
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Quote:

Boomers thinking that the Republicans are going to take away their Social Security.

I'm at the tail end of the boomer generation, and I am amazed that Social Security is still there. It should have gone bust decades ago.

It ain't Republicans, its demographics that will take it away.

We are in the 7 figures for 401k and Roth accounts, plus wife's excellent pension. We never expected Social Security, and when we get it, it is just added fun money.

I fully expect Social Security to be means tested before the end of my lifetime, and people like us who took care of their own retirement will lose Social Security.
carl spacklers hat
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Also think the Boomers are easily influenced by the MSM so they buy all the crap being constantly run by the legacy media.
People think I'm an idiot or something, because all I do is cut lawns for a living.
halfastros81
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I felt that way as well but I don't think means testing is coming in the next 5 yrs . They will just slide the ages for benefits back older and older instead which is fine by me.
IslanderAg04
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