Just another indicator of how much Ohio has changed, and why Brown will have a hard time winning against Husted. https://t.co/0cn1SPq38I

— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) April 10, 2026

nortex97 said:

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Ah, no worries.

This is actually more great news as Cassidy is a rino who should absolutely be discarded, but I never trust Louisiana voters to do the right thing.

📊 Louisiana Senate GOP Primary

🟥 Julia Letlow: 29%
🟥 John Fleming: 24%
🟥 Bill Cassidy (inc): 20%
–––
Head-to-Head Matchups

Letlow 50% (+26) vs Cassidy 24%

Fleming 49% (+23) vs Cassidy 26%

Letlow 34% (+1) vs Fleming 33%

BDPC | 3/18/26 | LVhttps://t.co/X5uwSIZpMK pic.twitter.com/aKkYNfgSsJ

— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) April 10, 2026

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You're a wise one, that's for sure!

I think the Republicans will retain Alaska and Ohio and win tossup states Michigan and Georgia for 53 Senate seats, and the Democrats will retain New Hampshire and win tossup states Maine and North Carolina for 47 Senate Seats.

Checking back in, it seems like MI and ME are the top two GOP priorities right now, both trending in the right direction, thanks largely to Democrats.

Shouldn’t a reporter, I don’t know, report on that fact that he signed up to go to Iraq after the war had already started? https://t.co/VFqhTvLhQX

— Legal Phil (@Legal_Fil) May 17, 2026

I am optimistic about NC, given the voter registration trend lines, but that could slip from Tillis (rino) to Cooper by 3 to 5 points if I am wrong. OH and AK I am not real concerned about at this point, let alone Texas, though there may be a play for GA still.

GA race against ossoff is looking solid right now, based on voters picking the GOP candidates for the two state supreme court cases and the primary results as well. I read that it is likely most of the Carter voters will shift to Collins in the run off with Dooley, as the former also tried to align with Trump vs. Kemp. I'm fairly certain Collins is the strongest candidate to take on Ossoff in Nov.

Meanwhile over in Georgia in the proxy war between Trump vs Kemp, Collins (Trump-backed) has a commanding lead over Dooley (Kemp). Wish he drops to third though so Mike doesn't have to face him in the runoffs. But Collins doing better than expected and in a strong position to be… pic.twitter.com/ehx5U5SxIL

— MJ (@Real_Politik101) May 20, 2026

Bonus; Obama's anti-midas touch demonstrated yet again.

Obama actively endorsed two candidates in the Georgia Supreme Court to get the Black vote to turn out. Democrats spent $4 million vs Kemp and co's 500K. They lost both big time and the funniest part is that the Black vote shifted RIGHT compared to how they voted typically because… https://t.co/MljDnHam8m pic.twitter.com/93OUCIv1Er

— MJ (@Real_Politik101) May 20, 2026

Good to see some evidence of Democrats calling out Platner.

I’d expect other Democrats to do this, especially as the summer moves into Fall.

Platner is a complete mess of a candidate. https://t.co/5Z4Z2MjlQy

— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) May 26, 2026

Breitbart: 'Non-partisan' analysis predicts Dems will fail to take senate.

Quote:

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A nonpartisan analysis forecasts that Democrats will fail to retake the U.S. Senate Majority in the midterms, despite the establishment media narrative that Republicans could lose the upper chamber.
An Inside Elections analysis recently provided an updated rating, with the tally forecasting Republicans with 52 seats, Democrats with 45 seats, and three tossups.

More specifically, the analysis showed Maine and Ohio tilting in the GOP's direction.

In Maine, for example, Senate candidate Graham Platner (D) the left's presumptive nominee hoping to oust Republican Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) has continued to go down in flames with resurfaced Reddit posts showcasing shocking remarks he has made. In one, the 41-year-old Democrat mocked an American soldier who was shot four times in Afghanistan, writing, "Dumb mother****er didn't deserve to live." In another unearthed social media post, Platner admitted to masturbating every time he defecates in a porta-potty, and he praised crude ***** drawings.

The forecast also looked at other swing states, including Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia, deeming all three tossups.

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Good to see, but a lot of time left. I think Bill Mitchell is correct in this though:

Thune does not want a bigger GOP majority. If he has a bigger majority, then his RINO pals have no power. As long as the majority remains small, RINO's have all the power.

This is why Thune does not want to pass the SAVE America Act even though it will help us in the election. pic.twitter.com/7465mmd7aV

— Bill Mitchell (@mitchellvii) May 25, 2026

Ted Cruz is predicting some sort of senate revolt over the anti-weaponization compensation fund Trump won. I'm not sure why the Senators think they should have more power over it. They're the ones who voted for all of the Obama-Biden judges engaged in lawfare/show trials of conservatives.

Mary Peltola tries the sleazy maneuver of getting a fake 'Dan Sullivan' to run against Dan Sullivan in order to trick voters in their ranked choice voting system into failing to back the GOP nominee.

Quote:

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Sullivan's campaign hasn't hid the fact that the names of the phony candidate and the incumbent are the same as the press release is headlined "Dan Sullivan Challenges Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate Seat" with a subheading of "Urges Alaskans to defeat incumbent, elect a Sullivan who Stands up for Alaska." Sullivan has also taken to adopting incumbent Sullivan's original campaign slogan of "Sullivan for Senate."

Local media have noted the odd situation and Peltola's involvement, as Peltola recently completed a trip to Sullivan's hometown of Petersburg.

Alaska will hold its election on November 3, and the winner will be selected by rank-choice voting.

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This will backfire on her, I believe. Pathetic deception is par for the course for Democrats. She's been polling 'ok' but I think this reeks of desperation.

If anyone thinks Peltola, who just lost a statewide seat as an incumbent, is winning against Sullivan, then make your bets and take your chances.

— Doug 🍊 (@Doug__J) May 26, 2026

nortex97 said:

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Mary Peltola tries the sleazy maneuver of getting a fake 'Dan Sullivan' to run against Dan Sullivan in order to trick voters in their ranked choice voting system into failing to back the GOP nominee.

Quote:

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Sullivan's campaign hasn't hid the fact that the names of the phony candidate and the incumbent are the same as the press release is headlined "Dan Sullivan Challenges Dan Sullivan for U.S. Senate Seat" with a subheading of "Urges Alaskans to defeat incumbent, elect a Sullivan who Stands up for Alaska." Sullivan has also taken to adopting incumbent Sullivan's original campaign slogan of "Sullivan for Senate."

Local media have noted the odd situation and Peltola's involvement, as Peltola recently completed a trip to Sullivan's hometown of Petersburg.

Alaska will hold its election on November 3, and the winner will be selected by rank-choice voting.

---

This will backfire on her, I believe. Pathetic deception is par for the course for Democrats. She's been polling 'ok' but I think this reeks of desperation.

If anyone thinks Peltola, who just lost a statewide seat as an incumbent, is winning against Sullivan, then make your bets and take your chances.

— Doug 🍊 (@Doug__J) May 26, 2026

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It's getting worse for Dems in many races, MI-ME are going to be absolute dog crap candidates in the general for them as it stands (they may yank Platner this month as a consequence):

All the blackpillers and doomsayers over the past 6 months about GOP chances have ALWAYS ignored a crucial fact about Congressional mid-term elections.

When it comes down to it, those elections are all binary and about candidate choices.

The Dem. Party's primary process is now…

— Shipwreckedcrew (@shipwreckedcrew) May 31, 2026

Great developments in MI and ME this week.

Really wonderful to see El-Sayed rise like this.

This is the opponent Rogers wants for the general.

It’ll still be a tough race but it’s his best matchup in a midterm environment.

One caveat: a long way to go until the primary in August. https://t.co/aHI7C7Ko6r

— CA ET Nerd (@earlyvotedata) June 5, 2026

I saw a blurb about 2 of the Cali redrawn districts that were expected to be blue are turning out red.

More good news for the good guys.

Senate actually passed a Border Enforcement Bill last night and didn't remove the fund.

Murkowski, being the RINO that she is, was the lone Republican who voted against the bill.