Jbob04 said:

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Where in my post did I say that I am?

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Why post on football forums if you don't even watch?

Because I enjoy reading the kool aid posts in August. Poor saps.

Maroon Dawn said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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Maroon Dawn said:

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Again just wild how many people are chalking ND as this easy auto win

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No one on this thread has done that.

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The koolaid is flowing all over this site with insane pumpers predicting we beat ND in SB

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its not insane at all. in all likelihood, it will be a close game. and predicting a win is a far cry from "auto win"

Our schedule is very unbalanced with 3 straight SEC home games against Auburn on 9/27, Mississippi State on 10/4, and Florida on 10/11 before a stretch of 3 straight SEC road games against Arkansas on 10/18, LSU on 10/25, and Missouri on 11/8 in a span of 4 weeks. We have 3 road games against top 10 teams Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas, and I think Notre Dame is the most winnable among these 3 games.

Realistically, I think we have a floor of 7-5 (6-1 home and 1-4 away) and a ceiling of 10-2 (7-0 home and 3-2 away), and I am predicting 9-3 (7-0 home and 2-3 away) with losses to Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas. But I won't be surprised if we lose 1 or 2 more games against Florida (home), Arkansas (away), Missouri (away), or South Carolina (home) for an 8-4 (5-3 SEC) or 7-5 (4-4 SEC) finish.

I think the road game at Missouri is the trickiest for several reasons.

1. Both teams will be coming off a bye week, but we will be playing our 3rd road game in 4 weeks.

2. Missouri has won 10 consecutive home games, including 8 against Power 4 opponents and 7 against SEC opponents, since a 49-39 home loss to LSU on 10/7/2023.

3. We have lost 12 of our last 14 true road games, including 7 consecutive November or later road games since a 34-13 win at Tennessee on 12/19/2020.

11/13/2021: 29-19 loss at 10-3 (6-2 SEC) Ole Miss
11/27/2021: 27-24 loss at 6-7 (3-5 SEC) LSU
11/12/2022: 13-10 loss at 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Auburn
11/4/2023: 38-35 loss at 11-2 (6-2 SEC) Ole Miss
11/25/2023: 42-30 loss at 10-3 (6-2 SEC) LSU
11/2/2024: 44-20 loss at 9-4 (5-3 SEC) South Carolina
11/23/2024: 43-41 4-OT loss at 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Auburn

A win over Missouri would be our first November/December road win in 5 years, but losses to both Missouri and Texas would extend our November road losing streak to 9 games and stretch into 2026.

BMX Bandit said:

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Maroon Dawn said:

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BMX Bandit said:

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Maroon Dawn said:

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Again just wild how many people are chalking ND as this easy auto win

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No one on this thread has done that.

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The koolaid is flowing all over this site with insane pumpers predicting we beat ND in SB

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its not insane at all. in all likelihood, it will be a close game. and predicting a win is a far cry from "auto win"

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Give us some health luck and I think we win some of those close games.

ObviousLazyRiverIsObvious said:

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SouthCollegeStation said:

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Here is how I would predict the first 6 games to play out:

1. UTSA @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 38 - 17

2. Utah State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 42 - 13

3. ATM @ Notre Dame - Aggies Win -- 27 - 24

4. Auburn @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 31 - 21

5. Mississippi State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 34 - 17

6. Florida @ ATM - Aggies 1st loss - Florida Wins -- 31 - 28

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A 5-1 start? Yes!!!!!!!!







That sets us up for a finish of ... 8-4

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SouthCollegeStation said:

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Here is how I would predict the first 6 games to play out:

1. UTSA @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 38 - 17

2. Utah State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 42 - 13

3. ATM @ Notre Dame - Aggies Win -- 27 - 24

4. Auburn @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 31 - 21

5. Mississippi State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 34 - 17

6. Florida @ ATM - Aggies 1st loss - Florida Wins -- 31 - 28

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My first attempt playing NCAA25 I was 7-0 to start.

Then dropped two on the road.

Seemed about right.

Acting like board is full of pumpers is flat out laughable.

This board is a freaking beat down to come to man. And this is coming from someone currently predicting 8-4. But you come over here and all is hopeless, and every shred of marginally optimistic post is met with a dozen posters all over him about how insane / stupid they are.

Even 247, which is notoriously pessimistic, has more optimism than this board.

NoahAg said:

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I've been going back and forth between 6 or 7 wins all offseason. I just don't see us getting 8.
Imo, ND, LSU, and tu are definite losses. And we know we'll lose a game that everyone predicts we'll win (God forbid UTSA).

Does everyone really think we'll win 4+ of these games?

Auburn
Arky
Mizzou
Florida
SC

I don't.

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Yes. I do think we win 4 and maybe all 5 of those games

Back and forth between 8 and 9. Both are statistically more likely than 6 by every metric, from espn to any advanced metrics. Same metrics that said last year was a 7 win team (overachieved) have us closer to 8+ this year rather than 6/7.

Vegas, espn tracker, sagarin, kford, etc.

Not just Vegas. Just about everything that uses actual metrics has us higher. Pollsters who don't do much research have them slightly higher, and even then home field would negate their slight advantage and be a pick em at worst

Right now we are 57 and 60% favorites over them. I'd bet by the time the games roll around it's closer to 65%. We shall see

beerad12man said:

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Vegas, espn tracker, sagarin, kford, etc.

Not just Vegas. Just about everything that uses actual metrics has us higher. Pollsters who don't do much research have them slightly higher, and even then home field would negate their slight advantage and be a pick em at worst

Right now we are 57 and 60% favorites over them. I'd bet by the time the games roll around it's closer to 65%. We shall see

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I thought the AP was gospel though and sip was crowned champions of August.

It might be a good idea just to do away with November, go to an 11 month year. I realize that will alter when certain holidays fall and the seasons will slightly change, but it could be a benefit to our football team.

More simple

Win every game at home as we should and that we will be favored in. Steal just one of those tough road wins. 10-2 into the playoff, and probably into the SECCG.

wcb said:

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SouthCollegeStation said:

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Here is how I would predict the first 6 games to play out:

1. UTSA @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 38 - 17

2. Utah State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 42 - 13

3. ATM @ Notre Dame - Aggies Win -- 27 - 24

4. Auburn @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 31 - 21

5. Mississippi State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 34 - 17

6. Florida @ ATM - Aggies 1st loss - Florida Wins -- 31 - 28

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My first attempt playing NCAA25 I was 7-0 to start.

Then dropped two on the road.

Seemed about right.

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Been saying all along if we go 9-3 it wont be because we lost all 3 tough road games. It'll be because we won one of those tough 3 but lost one we shouldn't have or to an inferior team.

Orlando Ayala Cant Read said:

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wcb said:

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SouthCollegeStation said:

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Here is how I would predict the first 6 games to play out:

1. UTSA @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 38 - 17

2. Utah State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 42 - 13

3. ATM @ Notre Dame - Aggies Win -- 27 - 24

4. Auburn @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 31 - 21

5. Mississippi State @ ATM - Aggies Win -- 34 - 17

6. Florida @ ATM - Aggies 1st loss - Florida Wins -- 31 - 28

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My first attempt playing NCAA25 I was 7-0 to start.

Then dropped two on the road.

Seemed about right.

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Been saying all along if we go 9-3 it wont be because we lost all 3 tough road games. It'll be because we won one of those tough 3 but lost one we shouldn't have or to an inferior team.

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I am predicting 9-3 with losses to Notre Dame, LSU, and Texas. Hopefully, we can go an undefeated 7-0 at home, including SEC home games against Auburn, Mississippi State, Florida and South Carolina, and win road games against Arkansas and Missouri.

Bill Superman said:

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Ugly said:

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Bill Superman said:

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NoahAg said:

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I've been going back and forth between 6 or 7 wins all offseason. I just don't see us getting 8.
Imo, ND, LSU, and tu are definite losses. And we know we'll lose a game that everyone predicts we'll win (God forbid UTSA).

Does everyone really think we'll win 4+ of these games?

Auburn
Arky
Mizzou
Florida
SC

I don't.

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As far as losing games we are not supposed to, I could see us dropping the Arky game and the season falling apart from there.

I don't think we're supposed to win SC or Florida though.

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From what I can tell, we are currently a 3 point favorite in both of those games.

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Maybe in Vegas, not according to AP though.

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You know that AP rankings are not a predictive tool, right? The AP is a beauty pageant based on what you've done over the course of the year (and pre-season AP barely measures anything because the voters themselves don't agree on the criteria to use).