If beat Arky and A&M at home:
It is not 0% chance now but it is a long hill to climb.
the math now is really tough if you are a longhorns fan.
There are 12 spots. G5 gonna take 1. NOTRE dame gonna take 1. BIG 12 going to take 1. ACC will take 1.
That leaves 8 spots for Big 10 and SEC teams.
Ohio State, Indiana, A&M, Georgia, & Ole Miss are Locks Now to be In.
That leaves 3 spots for Big 10 and SEC teams.
Oregon, Bama, & Oklahoma are now currently in the driver's seats and control their own destinies for those remaining 3 spots.
To have any chance, the horns will need to:
- Beat Arkansas & A&M
- Root for Oregon to lose twice to both USC and Washington OR root for Bama to lose to Auburn and pray they jump a similar 9-3,Bama (I think though the 9-3,Bama resume would win out) OR root for Oklahoma to lose at home to either Mizzou or LSU and hope they jump a similar 9-3 OU
- AND, they can't have Michigan beat Ohio State because a 10-2,Michigan with that win would be in as a 4th Big 10 team
- Vandy finishing 10-2,would be a Cinderella story complication so if you are a horn fan then probably don't want Vandy winning out either.
It is not 0% chance now but it is a long hill to climb.
the math now is really tough if you are a longhorns fan.
There are 12 spots. G5 gonna take 1. NOTRE dame gonna take 1. BIG 12 going to take 1. ACC will take 1.
That leaves 8 spots for Big 10 and SEC teams.
Ohio State, Indiana, A&M, Georgia, & Ole Miss are Locks Now to be In.
That leaves 3 spots for Big 10 and SEC teams.
Oregon, Bama, & Oklahoma are now currently in the driver's seats and control their own destinies for those remaining 3 spots.
To have any chance, the horns will need to:
- Beat Arkansas & A&M
- Root for Oregon to lose twice to both USC and Washington OR root for Bama to lose to Auburn and pray they jump a similar 9-3,Bama (I think though the 9-3,Bama resume would win out) OR root for Oklahoma to lose at home to either Mizzou or LSU and hope they jump a similar 9-3 OU
- AND, they can't have Michigan beat Ohio State because a 10-2,Michigan with that win would be in as a 4th Big 10 team
- Vandy finishing 10-2,would be a Cinderella story complication so if you are a horn fan then probably don't want Vandy winning out either.