***Official Houston Astros 2025-26 Offseason Thread***

292,958 Views | 4135 Replies | Last: 6 min ago by agproducer
Severian the Torturer
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Texas 8&4 said:

Has to be a ridiculous AAV. The Mets were going to go 3, Diaz wanted 5

ETA: 3/69M

Surprised Mets didn't match


69 MILLION
Mr.Bond
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Trading Paredes...... no thank you
Im looking for Ray Finkle.... and a clean pair of shorts. Im just a very big Finkle fan. This is my Graceland, sir.
ttha_aggie_09
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txags92
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CharleyKerfeld said:

If the Astros trade away Paredes after 3/4th of a season, I'm going to lose a lot of faith in the franchise.

I have already lost a lot of faith, but not in the franchise...I am losing faith in Dana. Somehow making it to opening day last year with only 2 credible LH bats in the lineup was a big miss. Not finding a way to trade for another credible LH bat through the season as the injuries mounted and our RH hitters got exposed against RH pitching was a big miss. Going through the trade deadline and not improving our team in any measurable way while Seattle got a lot better was another one. Letting Framber go with nothing but a draft pick in return (that we will lose if we sign a FA with a QO) is another one.

He just doesn't seem to be very good at convincing people to make a deal. The Tucker trade is the outlier at this point. We hear about all these teams who might be interested in Jake or Diaz or Walker or others, and we have a pile of needs we need to get addressed, and somehow nothing gets done. I am not arguing for making deals for the sake of making deals (that feels like what he did at the trade deadline and beyond this season). I just think we have too many glaring weaknesses and holes in our lineup to not be getting something done about at least some of them.

I know the focus is on getting SP, but we already proved last season that even with stellar starting pitching, our lineup wasn't up to the task of getting the wins. As soon as the SP started to falter a bit down the stretch, we were dead in the water. We have to get better offensively this season and trading away one of the few guys who has shown the ability to hit well situationally (Paredes) or get on base and play good defense (Meyers) in return for more pitching just doesn't do it for me at this point.
texasaggie2015
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Remember: This time of year tons of info gets strategically leaked out by agents, GMs, etc to create leverage and a majority of it isn't necessarily true.
Severian the Torturer
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I think it's difficult when you have literally zero trade ammunition and your owner and all star first baseman saddled you with the albatrosses.

The guy is working under about 11 different constraints. No prospect ammo, don't go over the luxury tax threshold, massive contracts to underperforming/injured players.

It's hard to evaluate him.
Severian the Torturer
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Our payroll looks freaking ugly.

Our 2026 outlay is :

$58,100,000 for pitchers that threw 140 innings combined last year (yes one of them is Hader)
$112,666,666 for position players/dh who combined for 2.7 BBWAR last year.

How the hell are you supposed to do anything with $170,000,000 tied up with the above output when you have no marketable prospects.



Mr. Awesome Time
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Though i don't like trading him to an AL contender, if Boston wants Paredes then they can step up with a legit offer.
linkdude
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and it's still an improvement from the ~$60M we had lit on fire last year
EastCoastAgNc
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I hope he doesn't play, the wbc is an injury factory
W
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yep, and Espada is already licking his chops to rest WBC players in the first week of the season
W
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and Dana's trade deadline deals...that looked so good at the time...

busted in both 2024 and 2025

won the battle and lost the war in 24

lost the battle and lost the war in 25
MaxPower
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Farmer1906 said:

MaxPower said:



I'd love to get Tolle, highly controllable and ace upside.

Fenway makes a ton of sense for Isaac.

But the only way it makes sense for Houston is if, 1. We have to believe he's ready to be a top-half-of-the-rotation arm in 2026 2. We're confident we can land another big offensive piece (Lowe, Donovan, Tucker, Belli, etc)


I think we need pitching more than hitting and right now we have a logjam in the infield that needs to be solved. Yes we would all prefer to trade Walker for Skubal but we have to be realistic with our options. Payroll is another issue so getting a mid rotation guy with ace upside on a minimum salary vs paying Isaac $9-10M will make a difference.
MAROON
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EastCoastAgNc said:


I hope he doesn't play, the wbc is an injury factory

he lost 43 games due to his last WBC appearance injury. We can't afford that
What do you boys want for breakfast BBQ ?.....OK Chili.
Farmer1906
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MaxPower said:

Farmer1906 said:

MaxPower said:



I'd love to get Tolle, highly controllable and ace upside.

Fenway makes a ton of sense for Isaac.

But the only way it makes sense for Houston is if, 1. We have to believe he's ready to be a top-half-of-the-rotation arm in 2026 2. We're confident we can land another big offensive piece (Lowe, Donovan, Tucker, Belli, etc)



I think we need pitching more than hitting and right now we have a logjam in the infield that needs to be solved. Yes we would all prefer to trade Walker for Skubal but we have to be realistic with our options. Payroll is another issue so getting a mid rotation guy with ace upside on a minimum salary vs paying Isaac $9-10M will make a difference.

Right, but I think we can find less risky pitching where we don't have to give up a top 3 offensive player. Bad teams will unload guys with 1-2 years left in exchange for prospects.
EastCoastAgNc
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MaxPower
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That's where we probably just differ fundamentally. I'm more interested in some long term thinking so continuing to dump prospects to plug holes for a year or two doesn't interest me. I certainly get the rationale, I'm just not a fan of it.
Farmer1906
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MaxPower said:

That's where we probably just differ fundamentally. I'm more interested in some long term thinking so continuing to dump prospects to plug holes for a year or two doesn't interest me. I certainly get the rationale, I'm just not a fan of it.

Generally, I am not either. But I feel like this org is in the late stages of maturity and into decline. I am trying to grab 1 or 2 extensions to get back to the WS before Altuve is gone.

Wabs
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I don't see us getting back to the WS before Altuve retires, given that Crane will not go above the luxury tax and we don't have the prospects to trade for top caliber talent. Can we band-aid and compete for a possible wild card spot? Possibly if our top players stay healthy for a majority of the season.

I'm on complete team rebuild, but it appears we're not doing that and we're going the band-aid route.
Mathguy64
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We are at the same place as every other normal franchise that got to the pinnacle and stayed.

At some point the system of high end contracts past the FA window catches up with everyone. Most teams can't keep their own FA core together much past 7-8 years. It's just too expensive.

The only teams that can are teams like LAD who just bought their way through that ceiling. LAD, NYY, NYM, now I think TOR are going to try it. They all just said "we don't care about the implications to the CBT"

We are CBT limited. As much as Crane says to spend, really and truly the team is limited by the caps in the CBT, both tax caps and draft penalties.

If you are willing to let those go, you can keep your team together.
txags92
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Mathguy64 said:

We are at the same place as every other normal franchise that got to the pinnacle and stayed.

At some point the system of high end contracts past the FA window catches up with everyone. Most teams can't keep their own FA core together much past 7-8 years. It's just too expensive.

The only teams that can are teams like LAD who just bought their way through that ceiling. LAD, NYY, NYM, now I think TOR are going to try it. They all just said "we don't care about the implications to the CBT"

We are CBT limited. As much as Crane says to spend, really and truly the team is limited by the caps in the CBT, both tax caps and draft penalties.

If you are willing to let those go, you can keep your team together.

We didn't get to the WS multiple times and build a nearly decade long dynasty with big spending and trying to outbid the LAD for FAs. We got there by stockpiling draft picks and prospects and doing so took some hard trades (emotionally) and some terrible baseball teams on the field. Trying to revive that with big spending on FAs now is not the answer.

On the other hand, I think Crane is going to keep buying boxes of bandaids as long as the stands stay full and the team is at least marginally competitive. When folks stop buying tickets and the team lingers in the middle of the pack for a season or two, I think Crane will finally come to his senses and put us back on the full rebuild path.
htxag09
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Astros just sold all their minor league affiliates
CFTXAG10
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Farmer1906
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I think yall are selling Crane short here. He has shown he's willing to go into the tax at the deadline when the right deal or player comes along. He's willing to extend current players and go sign free agents. The only knock on Crane is that he's unwilling to do the long-term deal so we're excluded from the mega stars. We are also excluded from the mega boat anchors (the Rendons, Pujols, Boegarts, Manny, etc type deals)
txags92
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Farmer1906 said:

I think yall are selling Crane short here. He has shown he's willing to go into the tax at the deadline when the right deal or player comes along. He's willing to extend current players and go sign free agents. The only knock on Crane is that he's unwilling to do the long-term deal so we're excluded from the mega stars. We are also excluded from the mega boat anchors (the Rendons, Pujols, Boegarts, Manny, etc type deals)

I don't disagree with you. I think he is willing to spend up to a point. My point above was that he is never going to be able to do what the LAD have done and buy the FAs necessary to win a WS. If we build a championship core through other means and just need 1-2 pieces to get us there, I have no doubt Crane will spend what is necessary. But we can't build that championship core again from where we are with a mid-market budget to spend on FAs. It is going to have to be through draft picks and prospects and that means trading away some guys we would rather not and not being a very good team for a while. Crane won't do that until he sees the ticket sales dropping off.
wangus12
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CFTXAG10 said:



I hate this with a passion
EastCoastAgNc
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wangus12 said:

CFTXAG10 said:



I hate this with a passion

Gotta get that sweet sweet private equity money. This just means that they're gonna nickel and dime the hell out of those teams, which will lead to less favorable conditions for the players and their development.
EastCoastAgNc
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Ag_07
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Quote:

This just means that they're gonna nickel and dime the hell out of those teams, which will lead to less favorable conditions for the players and their development.


I think this is a bit of a knee jerk reaction. This is announced and within less than a couple hours you're already assuming declining amenities and lack of minor league development.

We have no idea what this means for the development of young players.
Mathguy64
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txags92 said:

Mathguy64 said:

We are at the same place as every other normal franchise that got to the pinnacle and stayed.

At some point the system of high end contracts past the FA window catches up with everyone. Most teams can't keep their own FA core together much past 7-8 years. It's just too expensive.

The only teams that can are teams like LAD who just bought their way through that ceiling. LAD, NYY, NYM, now I think TOR are going to try it. They all just said "we don't care about the implications to the CBT"

We are CBT limited. As much as Crane says to spend, really and truly the team is limited by the caps in the CBT, both tax caps and draft penalties.

If you are willing to let those go, you can keep your team together.

We didn't get to the WS multiple times and build a nearly decade long dynasty with big spending and trying to outbid the LAD for FAs. We got there by stockpiling draft picks and prospects and doing so took some hard trades (emotionally) and some terrible baseball teams on the field. Trying to revive that with big spending on FAs now is not the answer.

On the other hand, I think Crane is going to keep buying boxes of bandaids as long as the stands stay full and the team is at least marginally competitive. When folks stop buying tickets and the team lingers in the middle of the pack for a season or two, I think Crane will finally come to his senses and put us back on the full rebuild path.


I don't disagree.

But our limitation (if you want to call it that) of not signing our own FA happens to everyone except LAD, NYY, NYM and maybe TOR.

Nobody else had the financial FU money to even attempt that.

We hit the mega jackpot by having a super talented group of our own players all time their rise all together and we kept them all as long as you could hope. It's very unusual.
MAROON
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Why? The vast majority of minor league teams are not owned by the major league clubs. We were the exception
What do you boys want for breakfast BBQ ?.....OK Chili.
Biz Ag
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jkag89 said:

Stumbled across this video about the 1980 NLCS. I was devastated by both Games 4 & 5.


I was there for game #4.

Lonnie Smith in LF for the Phillies. Like the Navy, he didn't treat his position as a job. It was an adventure.

texasaggie2015
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EastCoastAgNc said:

wangus12 said:

CFTXAG10 said:



I hate this with a passion

Gotta get that sweet sweet private equity money. This just means that they're gonna nickel and dime the hell out of those teams, which will lead to less favorable conditions for the players and their development.

This is actually a pretty common thing. Don't think this changes anything whatsoever as far as development goes. At all.
EastCoastAgNc
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EastCoastAgNc
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