Sims said:
Quote:
He invested $400,000 in two real estate projects: A luxury apartment building in downtown Nashville overseen by former WeWork CEO Adam Neumann's family office, and a three-building renovation in the Chelsea neighborhood of New York. Each project had targeted annual returns of around 20%.
If annual returns are targeting 20% (and have any realistic chance of getting there) and they are asking the general public for money, run away.
20% IRR is a pretty standard target for multifamily. These days, you will only get it with one of 3 scenarios..
1. Purchase below market - has to have significant discount in rents to comps. Renovate, raise rents to market, and improve operations. 3-5 year play.
2. Buy on floater, rates come down with rents staying flat or rising. Refinance in 3 years at lower rate. Sell in 5-10 years at lower cap rate.
3. Massive cap rate compression. AKA rates get slashed back to 2%.
Anyone promising any of those will work without outlining the risks should be avoided. But the last 10 years were nothing but those 3. And all were enabled due to constantly falling rates which led to cap rate compression. Add in the inflation spike in rents and it was easy. People think it will be like that again. I personally don't. I think you have to buy strategically (good real estate, proper capital identification and deployment, conservative rent growth, conservative expense assumptions, modeled to sell at flat to higher cap rates). If the deal works without having to make massive bullish assumptions for 5 years down the road, its a good buy. Though likely not a 20% IRR. If the bull case is your standard modeled case, well.. good luck. You're gambling.