***Russian - Ukraine War Tactical and Strategic Updates*** [Warning on OP]

8,538,733 Views | 50175 Replies | Last: 31 min ago by Ag with kids
nortex97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Edit. Included the wrong post.
jbeaman88
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Very slim chance Putin leaves Russia or Zelensky goes to Russia, unfortunately
LMCane
How long do you want to ignore this user?
jbeaman88 said:

Very slim chance Putin leaves Russia or Zelensky goes to Russia, unfortunately

why not go to Warsaw or Vilnius then

there is that part of Russia in Kaliningrad maybe Putie Poot would go there...
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Ukraine has developed a new reuseable interceptor drone.

"The Mongoose is a jet-powered, fixed-wing UAV equipped with a heat-seeking guidance system and a multi-barrel shotgun designed to disable enemy drones by targeting their engines or propellers."

SHOTGUN
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
LMCane said:

jbeaman88 said:

Very slim chance Putin leaves Russia or Zelensky goes to Russia, unfortunately

why not go to Warsaw or Vilnius then

there is that part of Russia in Kaliningrad maybe Putie Poot would go there...

Those countries will never agree to let Putin set foot on their territory and he can only go where the ICC's warrant for him won't be honored. Zelensky only goes to Russia if he suddenly develops a death wish.

Anyway, Putin is too wary to go into any meeting that includes Zelensky. His intent is to get Trump alone and bamboozle him again.

UPDATES

Waffledynamics
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
trip
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Waffledynamics said:



Just in time for the next round of peace talks.
Who?mikejones!
How long do you want to ignore this user?
ABATTBQ11
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
We can only hope.
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Ukrainian unmanned sea drones launch FPVs drones of their own against air defenses in occupied Crimea hitting several key radars essential for defending the peninsula. RADARS.

Ground drones launching drones will be next.

lb3
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
From that link:

AlaskanAg99
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
It's really kind of wild the Jet age began at the end of WWII and now slow propeller driven suicide drones are so effective.
LMCane
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AlaskanAg99 said:

It's really kind of wild the Jet age began at the end of WWII and now slow propeller driven suicide drones are so effective.

they are only effective because the Russkies and Ukes do not have enough anti-drone weapons.

the USA and Israel will not be in the same position-

Hamas and Hizbullah and Iran fired literally OVER 1000 drones at Israel and their hit rate is around 4%.
ABATTBQ11
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
And that depleted our stockpiles of interceptors so severely that we paused shipments to Ukraine. It's also something Ukraine sees pretty regularly. Russia is working on producing enough drones to launch attacks like that every month. That's something even we would have trouble countering after awhile unless we increase our production capabilities substantially. It's also unsustainable from a cost perspective as we saw with US warships shooting down Houthi drones and missiles.

It's a strategic problem no matter how you slice it.
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Ukraine modifies a crop duster aircraft to hunt larger drones. It isn't the first civilian aircraft it has converted for this mission.

EXPEDIENT
lb3
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
ABATTBQ11 said:

And that depleted our stockpiles of interceptors so severely that we paused shipments to Ukraine. It's also something Ukraine sees pretty regularly. Russia is working on producing enough drones to launch attacks like that every month. That's something even we would have trouble countering after awhile unless we increase our production capabilities substantially. It's also unsustainable from a cost perspective as we saw with US warships shooting down Houthi drones and missiles.

It's a strategic problem no matter how you slice it.
We would bomb the drone production which Ukraine can't do effectively. It also doesn't help that Ukraine can't attack Russian suppliers in China.

I'm shocked to read that we've only produced about 5000 tomahawks since they were introduced. Given that we produce less than 100 per year, on average, and we can burn through 100 or more in a single night it wouldn't take long to deplete our inventory in a major confrontation. I would like to see our inventory up around 15000. We probably have over 100k JDAMs in inventory however so it's not like we can't wreck stuff, we just need air superiority to do it.
revvie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
74OA said:

Ukraine modifies a crop duster aircraft to hunt larger drones. It isn't the first civilian aircraft it has converted for this mission.

EXPEDIENT

Ukraine is improvising as they go. What is needed is a cheap countermeasure that can be mass produced. The plane costs approximately $500K and missiles at $10K each. I am sure they are working on that. Save the big cost items for the cruise and hypersonic missiles.
GAC06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
lb3 said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

And that depleted our stockpiles of interceptors so severely that we paused shipments to Ukraine. It's also something Ukraine sees pretty regularly. Russia is working on producing enough drones to launch attacks like that every month. That's something even we would have trouble countering after awhile unless we increase our production capabilities substantially. It's also unsustainable from a cost perspective as we saw with US warships shooting down Houthi drones and missiles.

It's a strategic problem no matter how you slice it.
We would bomb the drone production which Ukraine can't do effectively. It also doesn't help that Ukraine can't attack Russian suppliers in China.

I'm shocked to read that we've only produced about 5000 tomahawks since they were introduced. Given that we produce less than 100 per year, on average, and we can burn through 100 or more in a single night it wouldn't take long to deplete our inventory in a major confrontation. I would like to see our inventory up around 15000. We probably have over 100k JDAMs in inventory however so it's not like we can't wreck stuff, we just need air superiority to do it.


I don't think your production number for tomahawks is accurate. There are archived sources from 10-15 years ago saying we had built more than that back then. We have fired almost 2500 in combat and reportedly have around 4000 on hand.
txags92
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
GAC06 said:

lb3 said:

ABATTBQ11 said:

And that depleted our stockpiles of interceptors so severely that we paused shipments to Ukraine. It's also something Ukraine sees pretty regularly. Russia is working on producing enough drones to launch attacks like that every month. That's something even we would have trouble countering after awhile unless we increase our production capabilities substantially. It's also unsustainable from a cost perspective as we saw with US warships shooting down Houthi drones and missiles.

It's a strategic problem no matter how you slice it.

We would bomb the drone production which Ukraine can't do effectively. It also doesn't help that Ukraine can't attack Russian suppliers in China.

I'm shocked to read that we've only produced about 5000 tomahawks since they were introduced. Given that we produce less than 100 per year, on average, and we can burn through 100 or more in a single night it wouldn't take long to deplete our inventory in a major confrontation. I would like to see our inventory up around 15000. We probably have over 100k JDAMs in inventory however so it's not like we can't wreck stuff, we just need air superiority to do it.


I don't think your production number for tomahawks is accurate. There are archived sources from 10-15 years ago saying we had built more than that back then. We have fired almost 2500 in combat and reportedly have around 4000 on hand.

Would love to what kind of havoc Ukraine could do with about 400.
JFABNRGR
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
ABATTBQ11 said:

And that depleted our stockpiles of interceptors so severely that we paused shipments to Ukraine. It's also something Ukraine sees pretty regularly. Russia is working on producing enough drones to launch attacks like that every month. That's something even we would have trouble countering after awhile unless we increase our production capabilities substantially. It's also unsustainable from a cost perspective as we saw with US warships shooting down Houthi drones and missiles.

It's a strategic problem no matter how you slice it.


Katherine Boyle on SRS podcast is excellent. She goes into the Ukraine war a bit and basically states our greatest weakness right now is the ability to rapidly produce munitions. Whereas russia, china, Ukraine are at the forefront. Its a very good listen.

https://open.spotify.com/episode/2oAwUzLJUPrO6dw8SXH3ak?si=VcTCL-B6QT-z6XAbOPMkDg
“You can resolve to live your life with integrity. Let your credo be this: Let the lie come into the world, let it even triumph. But not through me.”
- Alexander Solzhenitsyn
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Here's the latest campaign update. As always, if too long, scroll down to the bullet summary points.

In advance of his Alaska trip, Putin continues to demand to get paid to make peace. "Kremlin officials are reportedly demanding that Ukraine cede to Russia strategically vital unoccupied territory in Donetsk Oblast and freeze the frontline in other areas as part of a ceasefire agreement." These lands encompass Ukrainian oil, gas, mineral and agricultural resources valued in the hundreds of billions.

ISW
Who?mikejones!
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Waffledynamics
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Really impressive how Ukraine is holding this sector. It's still in imminent danger and most likely will fall soon, but they've been almost frozen like this for a while now.

Waffledynamics
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
PJYoung
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Sums up Ukraines soldiers on the front lines:

Captain Filatov, on the front line, said there was no time for wishful thinking about diplomacy or leaders bringing an end to the conflict.

"We've fought so long that we rely only on ourselves, not on presidents, gods or talks," he said. When asked if his men maintain hope, he glanced at a passing soldier: "Vasyl, do you have hope?"

The soldier laughed. "No," he replied.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/09/world/europe/russia-ukraine-frontline.html
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Russia now stepping up attacks in the south, too. Kherson under siege again. SITREP

Waffledynamics
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
ABATTBQ11
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Sums up soldiers on almost every front line ever
Gilligan
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Waffledynamics said:




Latvia reinstated conscription mid 2023.

Because of Russia, Russia, Russia!
74OA
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
Putin isn't backing down from his insistence that Russia must get paid to make peace.

"The Kremlin earlier this week reiterated demands that Ukraine give up territory, abandon its bid to join NATO, and accept limits on its military, in exchange for a withdrawal of Russian troops from the rest of the country."

ALASKA
EU
MaxPower
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Demands to limit military are almost always just code for "make this easier for me to invade again at a future date yet to be determined". Someone can always find an excuse for military action because of some violation of those agreements.
txags92
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG
74OA said:

Putin isn't backing down from his insistence that Russia must get paid to make peace.

"The Kremlin earlier this week reiterated demands that Ukraine give up territory, abandon its bid to join NATO, and accept limits on its military, in exchange for a withdrawal of Russian troops from the rest of the country."

ALASKA
EU

"withdrawal of troops from the rest of the country"? They are demanding to keep all of the territory they currently occupy, plus some that they don't. Not a big "give" for Vlad there...

I.e. Ukraine must give us everything and agree to disarm while we rebuild our military to finish the job later. Might as well go ahead and demand that Ukraine pay to rebuild the orc-occupied portion of the country while he is at it...
Who?mikejones!
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Waffledynamics
How long do you want to ignore this user?
AG



????
First Page Last Page
Page 1432 of 1434
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.