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Screwworm is here...

56,089 Views | 397 Replies | Last: 2 hrs ago by Deerdude
redaszag99
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shiftyandquick said:

fullback44 said:

Deerdude said:

I guess I'll always wonder how much of funding to Darian Gap and Metalpa in Mexico facilities went to the project and how much was diverted to The Big Man or others, instead of funding the project?

Just think about this- if they even would have used just 2 % of all the fraud money in Minnesota and California - the screw worm would have probably been killed 1000 times all the way down to Brazil - maybe even pushed it into the Atlantic ocean

coulda woulda shoulda.

The Texas cattle industry will be devastated. And everyone knew it was coming and they didn't act.

This is what government failure looks like. This is what the tragedy of the commons looks like.


FYI shifty is a giant liberal
jt2hunt
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AG
Poor shifty
Deerdude
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Cattle will not be devastated. I've not heard of a single death yet. There will be some but I think many cases will be discovered and treated. It is a huge PIA to deal with.
Wildlife on the other hand is a concern.
hillcountryag86
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AG
Sure hope this whole thing ends up being far more hype than reality.
ttha_aggie_09
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Exactly. Hard to round up and apply dectomax to a wild animal...
Deerdude
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hillcountryag86 said:

Sure hope this whole thing ends up being far more hype than reality.


At least they not pushing masks and 6' spacing.
Yet.
Galt
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Pretty good informational meeting last night in Johnson City, put on by the Extension Service. Primary speakers were Dr Sonia Swiger (Extension entomologist from Stephenville), Dr Dustin Dorris (TAHC vet), a couple of local vets, and a director from TPWD. Probably 100+ attendees. Two bits of information came out that were of particular interest to me.

1) NWS fly activity becomes dormant below 59 degrees -- I'd always wondered what the threshold was, and that's it. The absolute optimum temp that maximizes NWS activity is mid-high 80's, so...ugh.
2) Efficacy of fly tubs etc in being beneficial is relatively low. Any mode of action that treats manure for fly control won't really impact NWS, as manure doesn't figure in to their life cycle (that's what the living tissue feeding does for NWS and is what makes them unique). General fly control through Permethrin etc was really being pushed as a good control/prevention measure (not 100% effective, but it'll help).

One other thing that caught my attention was that the metric they're pushing to for sterile fly production is 500m / week production is what's needed to re-eradicate NWS. Right now we're at about 130m / week. The Edinburg facility adds 300m / week when it comes online in Fall 2027.

Makes me nervous that there is so much riding on the Edinburg facility. They seem to be placing all their bets on that. I hope and pray that they don't hit delays or sabotage on that facility, because I sure haven't been able to see any viable backup plan that's being executed from a fly production standpoint. (Not to say there isn't one, I just haven't heard of one.)
Deerdude
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I had seen that information on temps and it further confuses me. Why is the fly so prevalent in north Mx and South Texas if they like 80's? It was clearly about 140 last weekend down there. OK, seriously with temps in high 90's to low 100's it seems that it would slow things. Maybe it does.
Wish I had known about that meeting, I was through there at about 5:30 .
Serious Lee
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Quote:


shiftyandquick

what breed of cattle are you running?
Galt
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High 80's are still happening down there, at night, so even when we're at our hottest, we'll still have high 80's windows. They gave a max temp as well but I don't remember what it was (honestly wasn't as concerned with that one).

Keep an eye on your local extension service calendar -- I think they are the ones putting these meetings together. You're in Burnet County, right? I'd give them a call as my impression was that the Ag agents at least in our area are being told to organize these local informational meetings. I think Llano had a meeting like this a few days ago, with some of the same speakers and info.
shiftyandquick
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Serious Lee said:

Quote:


shiftyandquick

what breed of cattle are you running?

Seriouslee, none.

One question to ask is what impact screwworm has had on Mexican cattle industry, and does that portend what will happen to the US cattle industry?

It seems like much of the Mexican cattle industry relied on selling calves and cattle to the US (live animals). That's ended. So they've taken huge losses from that. As they have had to sell only domestically. Which has led to them trying to export beef instead. But it takes a long time for that to ramp up. So we are going to see some fundamentally changed economics from screwworm related to how the industry is changing in Mexico. They will build up their own industry internally and rely on exported beef.

It seems the main impact in the US is related to the huge increase in manpower needed to check and treat cattle, and then the costs related to inspections, difficulty in making sales of live animals out of quarantine. Lots of increased inputs.

https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/mexico-seeks-offset-screwworm-impact-by-increasing-us-beef-exports-2026-05-19/
SanAntoneAg
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In regard to the RGV facility, two Aggies are running the show. Count on it being fast-tracked.
Deerdude
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Galt said:

High 80's are still happening down there, at night, so even when we're at our hottest, we'll still have high 80's windows. They gave a max temp as well but I don't remember what it was (honestly wasn't as concerned with that one).

Keep an eye on your local extension service calendar -- I think they are the ones putting these meetings together. You're in Burnet County, right? I'd give them a call as my impression was that the Ag agents at least in our area are being told to organize these local informational meetings. I think Llano had a meeting like this a few days ago, with some of the same speakers and info.


Yea I'm in Burnet/Llano counties at home. Cattle are in Zapata. They are having a meeting down there on Thursday but I just got home after a week there. Not sure what I'll do. Going to take that inspector course online today and see what light that sheds. I also attend the Thursday from 1-2 pm webinar call thing with TSCRA. They have been very informative.
Thanks
 
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