No idea how to figure likely points here. And honestly don't think of the sips week to week. But I'll bite since I went to the Aggies vs Florida game last year in Florida.
I didn't get the sense the Florida fans are as fickle as sips. And Florida started out weak and improved throughout last year. Not sure why that wouldn't happen again this year. Same coach, same QB, etc. Florida had a tough loss by 2 pts to South Florida second game. Last year, took #8 Tennessee to OT to lose at Tennessee. Last year, lost to #2 Georgia 34-20, which in grand scheme could have been worse. They beat #9 Ole Miss and #22 LSU last year, both at home (at Florida).
Point... they are inconsistent, seem to do better at home (except in early games). Won't be shocked to see them beat sips this weekend.