I am not surprised that we are currently 7.5-point home favorites. There are several trends in our favor.
1. We are coming off a 31-9 home win over Mississippi State and playing our 3rd consecutive home game and a 2nd consecutive night home game.
2. Florida will be playing their 3rd true road game in 5 weeks. They lost their previous road games to LSU on 9/13 and Miami on 9/20 by 10+ points each.
3. Mike Elko is now 4-1 (0.800) in SEC home games, including 2-0 this year.
4. Billy Napier is 4-11 (3-8 SEC) in true road games, including 0-2 this year. He is good for exactly one SEC road win each year; 5-7 (2-6 SEC) Texas A&M in 2022, 5-7 (3-5 SEC) South Carolina in 2023, and 2-10 (0-8 SEC) Mississippi State in 2024. His other road win came against 2-10 (1-7 ACC) Florida State in 2024. None of those 4 teams finished better than 5-7.
Hopefully, we dominate Florida from start to finish.