*** 2026 Aggie Softball Season Thread ***

81,045 Views | 642 Replies | Last: 5 hrs ago by fitzwatema
TravelinTex
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Would assume it tells the same story. We had an All-American pitcher in the circle that made up most of the work load all season and dominated lesser competition in non conference play last year vs playing half of the top 15 with mostly underclassmen and a senior rebounding from injury. Figured you'd have time to look that up yourself since you have time to be so miserable.
cevans_40
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_mpaul said:

But what about pitching stats?

Anyone with a clue knew our pitching would not be as good. We lost our ace and were unable to sign a replacement. I am not sure what you thought was going to happen.
_mpaul
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cevans_40 said:

_mpaul said:

But what about pitching stats?

Anyone with a clue knew our pitching would not be as good. We lost our ace and were unable to sign a replacement. I am not sure what you thought was going to happen.

Easy there, Tiger.
_mpaul
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TravelinTex said:

Would assume it tells the same story. We had an All-American pitcher in the circle that made up most of the work load all season and dominated lesser competition in non conference play last year vs playing half of the top 15 with mostly underclassmen and a senior rebounding from injury. Figured you'd have time to look that up yourself since you have time to be so miserable.

Why would you think I'm miserable?
Gap
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TravelinTex said:

Interesting stat drop from Kay! Assuming the dynamic is quality of opponents early in the season this year compared to last. Still don't think this team is as bad as their record indicates. Have been in competitive situations vs tough opponents, they just need to find ways to win.



I want to run the numbers on 2025 vs 2026 scoring while adding in the element of the competition. I'll do that this evening. My gut tells me that while in total it looks the same, the difference this year is we are scoring less against top 25 competition while running it up more against the bad teams.
Boozer92
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_mpaul said:

But what about pitching stats?

2025 2026

Hits/g 5.52 5.21
BB/g 1.67 1.39
R/g 2.43 3.48
ER/g 1.67 2.83

Biggest difference I found was Homeruns allowed. 5 allowed in pre conference last year 20 this year. So even with fewer hits and walks allowed per game more runs scored.
Boozer92
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Although offensively we have hit 33 hr this year and only 19 in preconference last year

So 14 more hit and 15 more allowed
Boozer92
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2025 vs preconference ranked opponents

W vs Baylor 10-7
L vs OK St 5-6
W at FSU 6-3(8)
W at FSU 11-4
L vs Texas Tech 2-7
W vs Texas Tech 7-6

Runs/game 6.83 Runs allowed/game 5.5

2026 vs preconference ranked opponents

L vs Texas Tech 2-3
L vs OK St 8-9
L vs Duke 6-8
L vs Oregon 1-2
W vs Duke 11-5
L vs Nebraska 2-8
L vs UCLA 7-15

Runs/game 5.29 Runs allowed/game 7.14

The real killers from this start are the losses to Louisiana and Texas St

_mpaul
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Boozer92 said:

_mpaul said:

But what about pitching stats?

2025 2026

Hits/g 5.52 5.21
BB/g 1.67 1.39
R/g 2.43 3.48
ER/g 1.67 2.83

Biggest difference I found was Homeruns allowed. 5 allowed in pre conference last year 20 this year. So even with fewer hits and walks allowed per game more runs scored.

Interesting. So slightly better on hits and walks per game, but significantly worse on runs and earned runs per game. Consistent with someone's prior stats about how drastically different our pitching was between top tier competition and the rest of the teams.
cevans_40
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_mpaul said:

Boozer92 said:

_mpaul said:

But what about pitching stats?

2025 2026

Hits/g 5.52 5.21
BB/g 1.67 1.39
R/g 2.43 3.48
ER/g 1.67 2.83

Biggest difference I found was Homeruns allowed. 5 allowed in pre conference last year 20 this year. So even with fewer hits and walks allowed per game more runs scored.

Interesting. So slightly better on hits and walks per game, but significantly worse on runs and earned runs per game. Consistent with someone's prior stats about how drastically different our pitching was between top tier competition and the rest of the teams.

Not sure how you are correlating those things but okay.
Gap
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Boozer92 said:

2025 vs preconference ranked opponents

W vs Baylor 10-7
L vs OK St 5-6
W at FSU 6-3(8)
W at FSU 11-4
L vs Texas Tech 2-7
W vs Texas Tech 7-6

Runs/game 6.83 Runs allowed/game 5.5

2026 vs preconference ranked opponents

L vs Texas Tech 2-3
L vs OK St 8-9
L vs Duke 6-8
L vs Oregon 1-2
W vs Duke 11-5
L vs Nebraska 2-8
L vs UCLA 7-15

Runs/game 5.29 Runs allowed/game 7.14

The real killers from this start are the losses to Louisiana and Texas St


Thanks for calculating that. I was interested in that subset of information on the offense for sure and you also added the runs allowed against those high quality opponents too.

So, in summary, versus top 25 opponents, this year we are scoring 1.54 runs per game less and allowing 1.64 per game more for a total swing in the negative of 3.18 runs per game.

Here is what I was going to calculate and you out did me and added the runs allowed too.

Runs per game vs top 25 (end of non-conference season):
2025: 6.83
2026: 5.29

Runs per game vs non-top 25 (end of non-conference season):
2025: 7.69
2026: 8.33

So far, we are also beating up on the non-top 25 a bit more this year than last year.

Perhaps, a lesson here is that we can hit and score, but we haven't learned how to do that against the high quality top 25 teams yet. But, it doesn't mean that can't come.
Gap
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_mpaul said:

Boozer92 said:

_mpaul said:

But what about pitching stats?

2025 2026

Hits/g 5.52 5.21
BB/g 1.67 1.39
R/g 2.43 3.48
ER/g 1.67 2.83

Biggest difference I found was Homeruns allowed. 5 allowed in pre conference last year 20 this year. So even with fewer hits and walks allowed per game more runs scored.

Interesting. So slightly better on hits and walks per game, but significantly worse on runs and earned runs per game. Consistent with someone's prior stats about how drastically different our pitching was between top tier competition and the rest of the teams.

It has been 2 weeks since I did that, so here is an update thru the current:

ERA - Overall
Sparks (18 1/3 IP, 6 ER) - 2.29 ERA
Lessentine (54 IP, 19 ER) - 2.46 ERA
Peters (49 2/3 IP, 18 ER) - 2.54 ERA
Munnerlyn (18 1/3 IP, 11 ER) - 4.20 ERA
Pannell (14 1/3 IP, 15 ER) - 7.33 ERA

ERA - vs Non-25 Opponents
Lessentine (41 2/3 IP, 7 ER) - 1.18 ERA
Peters (28 1/3 IP, 6 ER) - 1.48 ERA
Munnerlyn (11 1/3 IP, 3 ER) - 1.85 ERA
Pannell (11 1/3 IP, 3 ER) - 1.85 ERA
Sparks (16 1/3 IP, 6 ER) - 2.57 ERA

ERA - vs Top 25 Opponents
Sparks (2 IP, 0 ER) - 0.00 ERA
Peters (21 1/3 IP, 12 ER) - 3.94 ERA
Lessentine 12 1/3 IP, 12 ER) - 6.81 ERA
Munnerlyn (7 IP, 8 ER) - 8.00 ERA
Pannell (3 IP, 12 ER) - 28.00 ERA

Team ERA - Overall: 3.10

Team ERA - vs Non-Top 25: 1.59
Team ERA - vs Top 25: 6.74

Also, of note when pulling this together. 19% (16 of the 85) of the runs we have allowed this year are unearned. So, there is a defensive element that can get overlooked when just looking at the runs allowed and thinking pitching.

fitzwatema
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The biggest disappointment for me has been Taylor Pannell, I thought she would come in and be lockdown reliver. Sidne Peters has been good and it seems like Lessentine is maybe putting to much pressure on herself. Bottom line offense and defense are going to have to be rock solid if the pitching doesn't get better.
 
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