***Iran [Military Action Thread]***[See Staff Note in OP]

2,387,507 Views | 11429 Replies | Last: 3 hrs ago by Whoop2
jbeaman88
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Ducks4brkfast • 12:29p, 6/6/26
Ducks4brkfast said:
jbeaman88 said:
5Amp said:
Trump has a choke hold on Iran and is not letting go, a slow kill in the making.
What concessions by Iran to US demands have you seen that indicate they are feeling such a choke hold? I have seen no concessions.


They were going to run out of oil storage in 2 weeks eights weeks go bro
Again, how does that show that POTUS has them in a choke hold? If he did, I would have expected them to have started to concede to at least one demand. Maybe I'm missing one, who knows?
Reply Quote
Fitch
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Flavius Agximus • 2:48p, 6/6/26
Flavius Agximus said:
Ducks4brkfast said:
jbeaman88 said:
5Amp said:
Trump has a choke hold on Iran and is not letting go, a slow kill in the making.

What concessions by Iran to US demands have you seen that indicate they are feeling such a choke hold? I have seen no concessions.


They were going to run out of oil storage in 2 weeks eights weeks go bro

Supposedly they were exporting some via Caspian and land routes, albeit substantially less than normal. Don't have the article link to hand, unfortunately.

Edit to add some references:

Iran Looks to the Region to Blunt the U.S. Blockade - The Soufan Center
Iran Is Using Alternative Routes To Bypass US Naval Blockade
Iranian oil exports fall to lowest level in six years, data shows | Reuters

The articles point out that May exports were less than 300K barrels per day, down from 1.9 MM prewar, and that they have 147 million barrels in floating storage. The alternative routes have bought them some time but eventually will reach a crisis as storage limits are reached. So maybe the blockade strategy works if we are patient enough.
Oil exec interviewed on Squawk Box a little ways back noted that Iran actually has some very good engineers and they will be able to nudge the capacity limits somewhat. One speculative idea he put out there was to intentionally light the wells on fire or flare off excess supply to prevent catastrophic pressure drops from shutting in the wells. I'm just a dumb finance guy so the novelty stuck with me.



Reply Quote
Col. Steve Austin
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to YouBet • 5:47p, 6/6/26
YouBet said:
agent-maroon said:
Whatever happened to the limited oil storage volume issue that was going to force them to cap their wells? Seem to recall it was "only days remaining" like weeks ago. And also recall that they were dumping the oil into the ocean just to avoid the well shutdown. Any insights on any of this?

And their catastrophic water issues that would cause a relocation of Tehran. Both issues seem to have disappeared unless there is such a comms blackout that we have no idea what's happening in country.

There are quite a few articles regarding the water crisis in Iran. Those issues haven't gone away. Just do a Google search of "Iran water crisis". Moving the capital has been discussed but that would be a monumental undertaking over quite a number of years. Not sure if that's even doable.

Regardless, water shortages will be felt by the people, not the IRGC.

https://www.brookings.edu/articles/water-not-oil-is-the-middle-easts-most-precious-commodity/
Reply Quote
agent-maroon
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Col. Steve Austin • 6:15p, 6/6/26
Where would they move the capital to? Any other location is going to lack water as well.
Reply Quote
ErnestEndeavor
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to agent-maroon • 1:21a, 6/7/26
Proposal was to build a new city along the coast in the Makran area, east of Hormuz.
Reply Quote
txaggie_08
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:28a, 6/7/26
Sounds like Israel and Hezbollah back at it this morning.



Reply Quote
1 edit
YouBet
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
8:41a, 6/7/26
Lebanon wants Hez out so that even being part of any Iranian negotiations is nonsensical. Lebanon is its own country. Whatever Lebanon wants to do should be between them and Israel, if they so choose. If Israel can help rid them of terrorists then more power to them.
Reply Quote
agent-maroon
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to ErnestEndeavor • 9:33a, 6/7/26
ErnestEndeavor said:
Proposal was to build a new city along the coast in the Makran area, east of Hormuz.

Not trying to be an ass, but there appears to be less water in this area than around Tehran. At least from an amateur look on google maps. Is there a reservoir somewhere out there that I missed?
Reply Quote
txaggie_08
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to agent-maroon • 9:44a, 6/7/26
Desalination plants
Reply Quote
agent-maroon
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to txaggie_08 • 9:49a, 6/7/26
Existing or planned?
Reply Quote
txaggie_08
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
10:55a, 6/7/26
Reply Quote
Deerdude
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
11:08a, 6/7/26
Giving missile locations to Israel? Good deal.
Reply Quote
flown-the-coop
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Deerdude • 11:13a, 6/7/26
Deerdude said:
Giving missile locations to Israel? Good deal.

Trump said on MTP they know where all this stuff is already.
Reply Quote
Jock 07
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:07p, 6/7/26
IDF reporting missiles launched toward Israel from Iran
Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:08p, 6/7/26
Iran launches at Israel. Here we go again

Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:09p, 6/7/26
Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:18p, 6/7/26
Reply Quote
SA68AG
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:24p, 6/7/26
What is it going to take for Trump to realize peace will only be achieved by overwhelming power ?

It's time for the cease fire to end.
Reply Quote
P.U.T.U
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:28p, 6/7/26
Third wave of missiles headed to northern Israel.
Reply Quote
YouBet
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to SA68AG • 2:29p, 6/7/26
SA68AG said:
What is it going to take for Trump to realize peace will only be achieved by overwhelming power ?

It's time for the cease fire to end.


He said late last week that the only way he resumes the war is if US servicemen get killed by Iran.
Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:35p, 6/7/26
Weekend oil jumping, up 7% weekend market just dumped after being up all weekend.

Trump doesnt want the fight. Bibi wants the fight. Trump doesn't want Iran to turn into Gaza. Bibi doesn't care if Iran turns into Gaza.

That's the difference.
Reply Quote
samurai_science
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Dan Scott • 2:45p, 6/7/26
Dan Scott said:
Weekend oil jumping, up 7% weekend market just dumped after being up all weekend.

Trump doesnt want the fight. Bibi wants the fight. Trump doesn't want Iran to turn into Gaza. Bibi doesn't care if Iran turns into Gaza.

That's the difference.


That won't happen unless a civil war happens
Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:50p, 6/7/26
Starting to sound like these were love taps. Wouldn't be surprised if this was all planned and communicated before the event.
Reply Quote
Rockdoc
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:53p, 6/7/26
IRGC doesn't want a deal or truce. They don't care about Iran's general population.
Reply Quote
MaxPower
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to txaggie_08 • 2:56p, 6/7/26
txaggie_08 said:
Sounds like Israel and Hezbollah back at it this morning.



Why are these guys so obsessed with Lebanon when they are staring a curb stomping right in their own backyard?
Reply Quote
LMCane
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
2:57p, 6/7/26
One KC-135 over Jordan One KC-46 over Jordan in trail

no aircraft over Kuwait except for one Kuwait Air Force C-130

Qatar issues NOTAM to avoid airspace

Israel early warning of missile launches across all of Northern Israel and Golan Heights
Reply Quote
boulderaggie
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Rockdoc • 2:57p, 6/7/26
I agree. It's not the 'person' in charge, it's their belief system. Next man up has the same beliefs.
Reply Quote
LMCane
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to MaxPower • 2:58p, 6/7/26
Because the Islamic Republic has supported, trained and supplied the terrorists in Hizbullah for 40 years

and does not want to see them taken off the board by the IDF
Reply Quote
P.U.T.U
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:00p, 6/7/26

Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to LMCane • 3:04p, 6/7/26
LMCane said:
Dan Scott said:
Weekend oil jumping, up 7% weekend market just dumped after being up all weekend.

Trump doesnt want the fight. Bibi wants the fight. Trump doesn't want Iran to turn into Gaza. Bibi doesn't care if Iran turns into Gaza.

That's the difference.

This is a military thread discussing events occurring

not a political thread where you are guessing at what TRUMP WANTS


I stated a fact. It's what the commander in chief of the strongest military ever wants. He doesn't want the fight, he wants to negotiate a stop.

Reply Quote
LMCane
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:06p, 6/7/26
USAF KC-46 Pegasus after taking off from Tel Aviv is now over the Arabian Gulf

that is unusual
Reply Quote
Dan Scott
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to LMCane • 3:08p, 6/7/26
Reply Quote
LMCane
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
In reply to Dan Scott • 3:09p, 6/7/26
Dan Scott said:

strangely that incident is "over" as far as incoming missile warnings

it could be the IDF and USAF shot down every incoming missile
Reply Quote
DannyDuberstein
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:10p, 6/7/26
The IRGC keeps their power there by projecting strength to their own people. They also have a deeply entrenched terror network in Lebanon and other locations they will not stop supporting. They will rattle and stir up a little crap, but it doesn't necessarily mean much.
Reply Quote
1 edit
P.U.T.U
User Profile Ignore User Stop Ignoring
How long do you want to ignore this user?
24 hours One week Permanently Cancel
3:13p, 6/7/26
Trump has been a ton less aggressive after his visit to China. I wonder if anything happened on that trip.

As one of my Israeli friends has told me over and over, "Israel has been and always will be on their own". They can't rely on outside support nor should their policy choices.
Reply Quote
First Page Last Page
Page 286 of 328 ▼
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.