houag78 said:
We've had one bad year in the playoffs out of the last 8. Not a bad run. The recency bias of last year is still fresh in our minds. While this year looks pretty bleak right now, a healthy Yordan and a couple of starting pitchers could change all that.
Fair enough. The trend is downward though, which isn't unexpected for a team on the tail end of a dynasty like ours. I just think the number of "ifs" necessary for a good run into and through the playoffs is getting too long to be realistic.
1 If Yordan completes his rehab without incident
2 If Yordan stays healthy the rest of the season
3 If Yordan starts hitting like previous years instead of the first part of the season
4 If Yordan's return sparks a return to form by guys like Walker, Diaz, and Smith
5 If Altuve pulls out of his slump
6 If we get Meyers back to bolster a very weak OF
7 If Meyers hits like 2025 Jake instead of 2024 Jake
8 If Framber and Hunter return to early season form
9 If one or more guys who haven't pitched in 2 years can come back in post season form
10 If one or more guys who have been not good can suddenly turn a switch and make up for the loss of Hader in leverage situation
Do I need to go on? That is the list of things I think it will take to make a strong run in the last 35 and into the playoffs. We have a lot of holes and a lot of weaknesses. We all knew June was a mirage as evidenced by the constant wonder at how we were doing it with a AAA roster. Now we are reverting to where we would expect to be relative to our offensive output since our pitchers have run out of miracles. A lot has to change to get us out of this hole and I am skeptical we can pull it off (but will be ecstatic if we can).