Tsunami Watch for US West Coast and Hawaii

33,839 Views | 273 Replies | Last: 4 days ago by TyHolden
Horn_in_Aggieland
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This is the biggest earthquake since 2011
Rapier108
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So the 7.5 last week was just a foreshock of this 8.7.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Horn_in_Aggieland
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Hopefully this isn't a foreshock for something even stronger next week.
Rapier108
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Tsunami warning issued for Hawaii.

Quote:

BULLETIN
TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
243 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2025

TO - EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IN THE STATE OF HAWAII

SUBJECT - TSUNAMI WARNING

A TSUNAMI WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII EFFECTIVE AT
0243 PM HST.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME - 0125 PM HST 29 JUL 2025
COORDINATES - 52.2 NORTH 160.0 EAST
LOCATION - OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA RUSSIA
MAGNITUDE - 8.7 MOMENT

EVALUATION

A TSUNAMI HAS BEEN GENERATED THAT COULD CAUSE DAMAGE ALONG
COASTLINES OF ALL ISLANDS IN THE STATE OF HAWAII. URGENT ACTION
SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT LIVES AND PROPERTY.

A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF LONG OCEAN WAVES. EACH INDIVIDUAL WAVE
CREST CAN LAST 5 TO 15 MINUTES OR MORE AND EXTENSIVELY FLOOD
COASTAL AREAS. THE DANGER CAN CONTINUE FOR MANY HOURS AFTER THE
INITIAL WAVE AS SUBSEQUENT WAVES ARRIVE. TSUNAMI WAVE HEIGHTS
CANNOT BE PREDICTED AND THE FIRST WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST.
TSUNAMI WAVES EFFICIENTLY WRAP AROUND ISLANDS. ALL SHORES ARE AT
RISK NO MATTER WHICH DIRECTION THEY FACE. THE TROUGH OF A TSUNAMI
WAVE MAY TEMPORARILY EXPOSE THE SEAFLOOR BUT THE AREA WILL
QUICKLY FLOOD AGAIN. EXTREMELY STRONG AND UNUSUAL NEARSHORE
CURRENTS CAN ACCOMPANY A TSUNAMI. DEBRIS PICKED UP AND CARRIED
BY A TSUNAMI AMPLIFIES ITS DESTRUCTIVE POWER. SIMULTANEOUS HIGH
TIDES OR HIGH SURF CAN SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE THE TSUNAMI HAZARD.

THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME IN HAWAII OF THE FIRST TSUNAMI WAVE IS

0717 PM HST TUE 29 JUL 2025

FURTHER MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS
WARRANT UNTIL THE THREAT TO HAWAII HAS PASSED.


Watching on some live webcams. The beaches in Hawaii are already starting to clear out.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Horn_in_Aggieland
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I imagine Japan is too!
Sid Farkas
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AG
Quote:

Tsunami Watch in Effect for;

* CALIFORNIA, The coast from The Cal./Mexico Border to The
Oregon/Cal. Border including San Francisco Bay

pretty broad declaration for calif. I'm reaching for my snorkel.
drums
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AG
Looking at the USGS map.... Alaska is MUCH close than Hawaii. Not sure what effect ocean floor and other things have, but Alaska should feel things much sooner than HI.
Rapier108
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Horn_in_Aggieland said:

I imagine Japan is too!

"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Horn_in_Aggieland
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May be early effects of the tsunami


TX AG 88
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AG

Quote:

Some say the end is near
Some say we'll see Armageddon soon
Certainly hope we will
I sure could use a vacation from
This BS three ring circus sideshow


Of freaks here in this hopeless effing hole we call L.A.
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away
Any effing time, any effing day
Learn to swim, see you down in Arizona Bay

Horn_in_Aggieland
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Hawaii news feed. They're expecting first tsunami waves in about 4 hours.

https://www.youtube.com/live/lVy5nLWruu0?si=j7l4mlIWSzy2rG4Y
Rapier108
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Tsunami sirens will sound at 4:10PM local time in Hawaii (9:10PM here in Texas)
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
ShinerAggie
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AG
TX AG 88 said:


Quote:

Some say the end is near
Some say we'll see Armageddon soon
Certainly hope we will
I sure could use a vacation from
This BS three ring circus sideshow


Of freaks here in this hopeless effing hole we call L.A.
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away
Any effing time, any effing day
Learn to swim, see you down in Arizona Bay



followed by millions of dumbfounded dip&^$%s!
________________________________________________________
“Those who cannot change their minds cannot change anything.”
- George Bernard Shaw
TX AG 88
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AG
Hoping for the best for everyone, worldwide. I just happened to hear that song working out today.
BboroAg
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AG
This is what happens when there is too much CO2 in our atmosphere..
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Hawaii missile alert guy's moment for redemption
Rapier108
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Quote:

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 3
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0107 UTC WED JUL 30 2025

...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THE TSUNAMI FORECAST IS UPDATED IN THIS MESSAGE.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 8.7
* ORIGIN TIME 2325 UTC JUL 29 2025
* COORDINATES 52.2 NORTH 160.0 EAST
* DEPTH 74 KM / 46 MILES
* LOCATION OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA RUSSIA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 8.7 OCCURRED
OFF THE EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA, RUSSIA AT 2325 UTC ON
TUESDAY JULY 29 2025.

* TSUNAMI WAVES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING MORE THAN 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE
LEVEL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF

ECUADOR... AND RUSSIA.


* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 1 TO 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF

CHILE... HAWAII... JAPAN... NORTHWESTERN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS... AND SOLOMON ISLANDS.


* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF

AMERICAN SAMOA... ANTARCTICA... CHUUK... COLOMBIA... COOK
ISLANDS... COSTA RICA... EL SALVADOR... FIJI... FRENCH
POLYNESIA... GUAM... GUATEMALA... HOWLAND AND BAKER...
INDONESIA... JARVIS ISLAND... JOHNSTON ATOLL... KERMADEC
ISLANDS... KIRIBATI... KOSRAE... MARSHALL ISLANDS...
MEXICO... MIDWAY ISLAND... NAURU... NEW CALEDONIA... NEW
ZEALAND... NICARAGUA... NIUE... NORTHERN MARIANAS...
PALAU... PALMYRA ISLAND... PANAMA... PAPUA NEW GUINEA...
PERU... PHILIPPINES... PITCAIRN ISLANDS... POHNPEI...
SAMOA... TAIWAN... TOKELAU... TONGA... TUVALU...
VANUATU... WAKE ISLAND... WALLIS AND FUTUNA... AND YAP.


* TSUNAMI WAVES ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS THAN 0.3 METERS ABOVE
THE TIDE LEVEL FOR THE COASTS OF

AUSTRALIA... BRUNEI... CHINA... DPR OF KOREA... MALAYSIA...
REPUBLIC OF KOREA... AND VIETNAM.


* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
AND AT LOCATIONS WITH FRINGING OR BARRIER REEFS WILL LIKELY
BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.

* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED IF
NECESSARY IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.

"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
Horn_in_Aggieland
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Hawaii News Guy on TV: Now is not the time to be near the water.

As they show a live shot of people in the water at Waikiki.
TAMUallen
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AG
Anybody have streams for this?

Looking on YouTube now to see what I can find
TAMUallen
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AG
Found a stream from Hawaii. Tons of people on the beach at Waikiki

Ulysses90
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AG
Perhaps this post from yesterday seemed a bit sensational but it's hard to ignore the coincidence. (IANA Geophysicist)

Quote:

ZERO REPORT POLAR MOTION BREAKOUT

The latest JPL polar motion data (July 1920, 2025) confirms a critical torque transfer event within Earth's interior:

SIGMA SPIKES ACROSS THE BOARD:
DX-Sigma just surged past 0.12 the steepest rise in months
PMxy (combined polar vector) reversed slope after a flatline
UT1-Sigma is climbing indicating timing instability
And the 12-month band heatmap just lit up like a pressure fuse

This matches all previous CDIGR forecast models:
July 1920 was projected as a ZeroKey harmonic point
Internal angular momentum began redistributing
The crust is responding to a deeper system imbalance

You're looking at a geodynamic "jerk" a sharp shift in Earth's inertial balance. This isn't noise. It's signal. And it's planetary.

Interpretation:
The core is drifting. The mantle is torquing. The crust is lagging behind.
Earth just flinched and the system is recalibrating.

What's next?
This spike precedes rupture. Expect follow-on quakes, sea floor displacements, and crustal recoil in torque-linked zones.

This is real-time validation of the CDIGR theory.
We are officially in Phase V.

Horn_in_Aggieland
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Live shot from air of Japan coastline

https://www.youtube.com/live/mBQHNV7cqrM?si=zvTPDWx8W6LBqOob
TAMUallen
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AG
ttha_aggie_09
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AG
Whoa! Hopefully no one is injured
TAMUallen
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AG
Hawaii anticipates tsunami arrival at 716pm Hawaii time.

Currently, 3:35pm Hawaii
TAMUallen
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AG
Earthquake has been updated to 8.8 by USGS
Stat Monitor Repairman
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All ships in port gotta get underway in the next few hours. Gonna be a wild scene.
Rapier108
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6.9 aftershock.
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
TAMUallen
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AG
Crescent City CA has a 3.1 ft to 5.7 ft tsunami activity forecast

https://tsunami.gov/events/PAAQ/2025/07/29/t06p1k/3/WEAK51/WEAK51.txt

Crescent City 2355 PDT Jul 29 36 hrs 3.1- 5.7 ft
Sid Farkas
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AG
NHK Japan live stream (in Engrish)

Quote:

https://www.youtube.com/live/f0lYkdA-Gtw?si=tFI-xb7_X3svUl3l

apparently initial wave hitting Hokkaido is 30cm. not horrible.
Stat Monitor Repairman
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Quote:

The earthquake hit about 74 miles (119 kilometers) southeast of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky,

fullback44
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AG
Ulysses90 said:

Perhaps this post from yesterday seemed a bit sensational but it's hard to ignore the coincidence. (IANA Geophysicist)

Quote:

ZERO REPORT POLAR MOTION BREAKOUT

The latest JPL polar motion data (July 1920, 2025) confirms a critical torque transfer event within Earth's interior:

SIGMA SPIKES ACROSS THE BOARD:
DX-Sigma just surged past 0.12 the steepest rise in months
PMxy (combined polar vector) reversed slope after a flatline
UT1-Sigma is climbing indicating timing instability
And the 12-month band heatmap just lit up like a pressure fuse

This matches all previous CDIGR forecast models:
July 1920 was projected as a ZeroKey harmonic point
Internal angular momentum began redistributing
The crust is responding to a deeper system imbalance

You're looking at a geodynamic "jerk" a sharp shift in Earth's inertial balance. This isn't noise. It's signal. And it's planetary.

Interpretation:
The core is drifting. The mantle is torquing. The crust is lagging behind.
Earth just flinched and the system is recalibrating.

What's next?
This spike precedes rupture. Expect follow-on quakes, sea floor displacements, and crustal recoil in torque-linked zones.

This is real-time validation of the CDIGR theory.
We are officially in Phase V.



Can someone explain this so the normal Joe / peasant can understand it ?
the most cool guy
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TX AG 88 said:


Quote:

Some say the end is near
Some say we'll see Armageddon soon
Certainly hope we will
I sure could use a vacation from
This BS three ring circus sideshow


Of freaks here in this hopeless effing hole we call L.A.
The only way to fix it is to flush it all away
Any effing time, any effing day
Learn to swim, see you down in Arizona Bay



**** these dysfunctional insecure actresses!
Horn_in_Aggieland
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Hokkaido hit with 30cm tsunami wave.

Live stream: https://www.youtube.com/live/f0lYkdA-Gtw?si=6SCi8WAwNCJcVtAH
TAMUallen
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AG
dart 21416 buoy observed a 3ft rise. It is in about 3.6 mile deep water

The DART buoy with station ID 21416 is located approximately 240 nautical miles southeast of the Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia. Its coordinates are 48.126 N latitude and 163.376 E longitude, which is equivalent to 487'34" N latitude and 16322'35" E longitude. The water depth at this location is 5788 meters
 
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