Posted on the other thread.
Deja Vu of 1987.
Deja Vu of 1987.
Kerrville/Guadalupe
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429 Replies |
Last: 4 days ago by Kenneth_2003
tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
Agree. That was a bad deal. We had a place in Chevy Cove for around 25 years. Both my mom and dad and my uncle.
Be safe sir.
Be safe sir.
Snake creek runs across the Fort McKavett Rd and it's about 400 yards wide right now.
Gator92 said:
Pic sent to me from my DPS high water rescue buddy.
Which bridge is this a pic of?
Gunny456 said:
Agree. That was a bad deal. We had a place in Chevy Cove for around 25 years. Both my mom and dad and my uncle.
Be safe sir.
Had our little cabin here for almost 10yrs. You probably wouldn't recognize it. One of our new neighbors has a helipad and flies in here with his helicopter. Burnet county has about taxed us out of the place. The character of the place is changing rapidly.
Where is that?
This morning the Llano was flowing at 65 cfs. Current flow is 96,661 cfs. LBJ will catch all of this. Last time it was this high, LBJ lost the bridge on the Llano Fork.HumpitPuryear said:tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
It looks to be IH-10 in Comfort
I just got a call from a friend in the hill country who reached out to me to see if I knew of anybody with helicopters in the area that would be willing to help in some rescues at those camps. . They will be compensated well.
If anyone knows anyone call Jason at two10 five zero eight 3two42 for details. I just told him I would reach on TA.
TIA.
If anyone knows anyone call Jason at two10 five zero eight 3two42 for details. I just told him I would reach on TA.
TIA.
Llano up to 109K CFS near Mason, still going up.mwlkr said:This morning the Llano was flowing at 65 cfs. Current flow is 96,661 cfs. LBJ will catch all of this. Last time it was this high, LBJ lost the bridge on the Llano Fork.HumpitPuryear said:tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
Have him try Tango 82 Aviation out of Fredericksburg. Contact info on their website. They may already be involved.
State assets are on scene and more are inbound. I would caution anyone to avoid self-deployment. Without coordination in a disaster, especially in the air response, things can go very sideways very quickly and you end up with a bad situation.
Thank you! Calling him now.
Don't think they are self responding on the helicopters. The guy who reached out to me is working with someone
Involved.
Involved.
Complete Idiot said:Llano up to 109K CFS near Mason, still going up.mwlkr said:This morning the Llano was flowing at 65 cfs. Current flow is 96,661 cfs. LBJ will catch all of this. Last time it was this high, LBJ lost the bridge on the Llano Fork.HumpitPuryear said:tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
We've blown past the forecast of 25' crest at Mason at over 28'. Hearing rumors that LCRA has opened gates now.
Gunny456 said:
Did you guys eat at the Lakehouse Restaurant by chance?
Friend of mine in Kerrville knows the owner and he said it has water in the restaurant.
I ate there once while my family and I were staying at Jellystone. I hope they got everyone out of that park.
Gunny456
Joined:
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Posts:
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How long do you want to ignore this user?
And it went over the spillway for the better part of 3 weeksHumbleAg04 said:Deus Vult said:
The news just said the Guadalupe is flowing at 166000 cu ft per second. That is just a crazy amount of moving water. Thank goodness Canyon Lake is in the way to absorb some of this before it gets to New Braunfels and Seguin.
Some slightly drunk rough math shows at that rate lake will fill to pool in ~12 hours of that flow. Wild how much water it will hold. Also wild to think how much water moved in 2002 to go over the spillway.
Complete Idiot said:Llano up to 109K CFS near Mason, still going up.mwlkr said:This morning the Llano was flowing at 65 cfs. Current flow is 96,661 cfs. LBJ will catch all of this. Last time it was this high, LBJ lost the bridge on the Llano Fork.HumpitPuryear said:tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
I don't understand the wording of that message. It says everyone is accounted for at two camping locations, but then says if someone hasn't been accounted for, you have been contacted. Are there other camp sites? Hoping I am just misreading this and everyone is safe.
Go see the the LaJunta thread. It has the most up to date information anywhere in the situation at Mystic. So far lots of good news but some bad news and some misinformation.
Not being talked about as much, but San Saba river flooded as well - near Mason it peaked at 30', flood stage is 18', but barring a second wave seems to be falling.
Llano just keep going up. Bergheim and below waiting for that Guadalupe surge.
Llano just keep going up. Bergheim and below waiting for that Guadalupe surge.
There are multiple campsites broken up into ages.
HumpitPuryear said:Complete Idiot said:Llano up to 109K CFS near Mason, still going up.mwlkr said:This morning the Llano was flowing at 65 cfs. Current flow is 96,661 cfs. LBJ will catch all of this. Last time it was this high, LBJ lost the bridge on the Llano Fork.HumpitPuryear said:tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
We've blown past the forecast of 25' crest at Mason at over 28'. Hearing rumors that LCRA has opened gates now.
Will be opening gates this afternoon.
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus
HumbleAg04 said:Deus Vult said:
The news just said the Guadalupe is flowing at 166000 cu ft per second. That is just a crazy amount of moving water. Thank goodness Canyon Lake is in the way to absorb some of this before it gets to New Braunfels and Seguin.
Some slightly drunk rough math shows at that rate lake will fill to pool in ~12 hours of that flow. Wild how much water it will hold. Also wild to think how much water moved in 2002 to go over the spillway.
Retracted…
HTownAg98 said:HumpitPuryear said:Complete Idiot said:Llano up to 109K CFS near Mason, still going up.mwlkr said:This morning the Llano was flowing at 65 cfs. Current flow is 96,661 cfs. LBJ will catch all of this. Last time it was this high, LBJ lost the bridge on the Llano Fork.HumpitPuryear said:tamc93 said:
Watching as well since my daughter is up staying on LBJ this weekend.
As of now, LCRA is not expecting flood operations and the storm seems to be moving (albeit very slowly).
Stay safe and aware.
Flood operation link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus#linksl
Rainfall / Stream Link:
https://hydromet.lcra.org/
I have no confidence in LCRA after 2018 fiasco. There's no reason not to drop LBJ a bit to prepare for the llano surge. Travis is low and could use the flow anyway. We are on Chevy Cove this weekend and making plans to protect boats from a rise. Should be nothing like 2018 though.
We've blown past the forecast of 25' crest at Mason at over 28'. Hearing rumors that LCRA has opened gates now.
Will be opening gates this afternoon.
https://hydromet.lcra.org/floodstatus
Pretty sure they already did. Lake has dropped 3-4" in the last couple hours. Meanwhile Llano River is at almost 30' in mason and has not crested.
Hope you're right. They will be way behind the curve again if they wait too long.
I get texts from LCRA
Gunny456 said:
Hope you're right. They will be way behind the curve again if they wait too long.
Llano has crested in Mason at just shy of 30' and about 117k flow. We think the flow was about 200k in 2018 so not as bad but still lots of water coming down.
Captain Winky said:
I don't understand the wording of that message. It says everyone is accounted for at two camping locations, but then says if someone hasn't been accounted for, you have been contacted. Are there other camp sites? Hoping I am just misreading this and everyone is safe.
It's poorly worded. I had to read it four times to understand. If you aren't familiar with their setup, it makes it hard to understand and sounds like all is well, or might be, or maybe not. That's why the judge screwed up the relay.
Not sure at this point how many are actually accounted for.
Jason_Roofer said:Captain Winky said:
I don't understand the wording of that message. It says everyone is accounted for at two camping locations, but then says if someone hasn't been accounted for, you have been contacted. Are there other camp sites? Hoping I am just misreading this and everyone is safe.
It's poorly worded. I had to read it four times to understand. If you aren't familiar with their setup, it makes it hard to understand and sounds like all is well, or might be, or maybe not. That's why the judge screwed up the relay.
Not sure at this point how many are actually accounted for.
It appears that not everyone is accounted for. There was some reports of a rescue (which seems true) but with that, it was assumed everyone had been rescued. I've heard from a couple of families that there are still some girls missing
Thank you for the info. Much obliged.
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