TX Special Session Rumor: Abbott to Insert Redistricting of U.S. House Districts

16,099 Views | 235 Replies | Last: 53 sec ago by t - cam
nortex97
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Burrows will have his pals the Democrats running the show, functionally.

Don't get your hopes up, folks. Notice democrats never do this kinda crap for Republicans in places like IL/CA/NY/OR/WA etc.
Im Gipper
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Looks good to me!


I'm Gipper
Ellis Wyatt
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nortex97 said:


Don't get your hopes up, folks. Notice democrats never do this kinda crap for Republicans in places like IL/CA/NY/OR/WA etc.

Right. The first thing Burrows did was put democrats in charge.

Republicans are engaged in a unilateral war. The democrats are the only ones fighting.
Ag87H2O
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nortex97 said:

Burrows will have his pals the Democrats running the show, functionally.


So Burrows wasn't satisfied just to sabotage the conservative agenda in Texas, so now he's going after the Republican agenda on a national level.

He needs to be purged from the Republican Party. I pray Trump unleashes hell on him in the next primary.
Ellis Wyatt
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Quote:

So Burrows wasn't satisfied just to sabotage the conservative agenda in Texas, so now he's going after the Republican agenda on a national level.

He needs to be purged from the Republican Party. I pray Trump unleashes hell on him in the next primary.

Burrows, Brad Buckley, Dade Phelan and the rest violated their pledge to the Texas GOP that they would elect a speaker that the majority of republicans in the House supported. I agree that they should all be thrown out of the party.
Jugstore Cowboy
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Im Gipper said:

Looks good to me!



All the Democrat idiots on twitter and reddit screeching like that's a serious plan are hilarious.

I am curious who made that to troll people with.
nortex97
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Is this accurate? I realize Nick is 'occasionally' not precise in his reporting.

will25u
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Im Gipper
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INTERACTIVE MAP HERE:

https://dvr.capitol.texas.gov/Congress/0/PLANC2308

I'm Gipper
samurai_science
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Crush them
Mac94
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It's an R+5 map using the 24G presidential ... using 22G statewide races it's R+3 with CD34 being a battleground but slight D lean.
BMX Bandit
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For Houston, Looks like this moves Heights out of old She-Jack pedo egg district into safe district for Lizzie Fletcher, and garden oaks and oak forest to Sylvia Garcia. Al green is wiped away.
txags92
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Im Gipper said:

INTERACTIVE MAP HERE:

https://dvr.capitol.texas.gov/Congress/0/PLANC2308

What are SSVR and VAP?
Mac94
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txags92 said:

Im Gipper said:

INTERACTIVE MAP HERE:

https://dvr.capitol.texas.gov/Congress/0/PLANC2308

What are SSVR and VAP?

Spanish Surname Voter Registration and Voting Age Population
Im Gipper
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So 6 dem districts?

2 Dallas
2 Houston
1 Austin
1 San Antonio


I will allow it.

I'm Gipper
will25u
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nortex97
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I wouldn't put any credence in that speculation though at this point. Highly likely this gets tied up in litigation for 5+ years even if it is passed.
samurai_science
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nortex97 said:

I wouldn't put any credence in that speculation though at this point. Highly likely this gets tied up in litigation for 5+ years even if it is passed.


Who cares, good guys win in court and we do it again in 5 years
fc2112
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Im Gipper said:

So 6 dem districts?

2 Dallas
2 Houston
1 Austin
1 San Antonio


I will allow it.

And one El Paso
will25u
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ETA: These districts look a lot better than before as well...

Teslag
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nortex97 said:

I wouldn't put any credence in that speculation though at this point. Highly likely this gets tied up in litigation for 5+ years even if it is passed.


I doubt it gets tied up under the 5th circuit
Mac94
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It may not be quite a +5 map in reality. Everyone is focused on 24G but that was a bit of an unusual election. 2026 will be a midterm with state offices dominating the ballot. Looking at the new plan with 2022 data (like election) the Dems have 9 districts and 34 is a battle ground. For example, Beto lost CD34 by a bit over 1% but the dem candidate for AG won by a bit more than 1%. And given that the presidential incumbent party usually loses seats in the House it's possible the reality here may be an R advantage of +3 and not +5.
Troy91
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Those maps look way better than current maps and better than expected. They visually make more sense.
Logos Stick
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Mac94 said:

It may not be quite a +5 map in reality. Everyone is focused on 24G but that was a bit of an unusual election. 2026 will be a midterm with state offices dominating the ballot. Looking at the new plan with 2022 data (like election) the Dems have 9 districts and 34 is a battle ground. For example, Beto lost CD34 by a bit over 1% but the dem candidate for AG won by a bit more than 1%. And given that the presidential incumbent party usually loses seats in the House it's possible the reality here may be an R advantage of +3 and not +5.


But we can possibly get to 5?!

You seem to have some knowledge here.... are you personally involved with this?

Mac94
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No comment ... lol ... take that as you like
Mac94
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And +5 is possible .... but it's not a certainty. The +5 focuses strictly on the 24 general and President Trumps performance. But each election is it's own thing and looking at other data and historical trends it could not live up to that expectation. a gain of three looks to be a good bet with the possibility of more .. but that would depend on turnout and candidates, etc.
carl spacklers hat
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I would add to your comment that CD 28 and CD 34 are democrat bastions. Even with Trump winning the presidential in 2024, the local races went D. La Mquina is a real thing in the RGV and jala la palanca lives on. It had been moving republican in recent elections but WAY too early to chalk those two districts up to Rs. Vicente was outspent by over 2 to 1, too. In CD 28 you have a better chance of getting Cullar to cross the aisle than you do electing an R.
People think I'm an idiot or something, because all I do is cut lawns for a living.
Mac94
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The focus districts from the list of "flipped" CDs in the post above are CD 28 and CD34

Looking at the 22G data CD28 went to the dem candidate for Gov, Lt Gov, and AG by 10+ percentage points ... and as I noted CD34 was about 1% either way.

All the other districts were pretty solid one way or the other in the 22G data. So those two districts are most likely to determine whether it's +5, +4, or +3
Kunkle for Congress TX-34
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nortex97 said:

Is this accurate? I realize Nick is 'occasionally' not precise in his reporting.




This is the map I received from a TX House member this morning.
"Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of Congress. But I repeat myself."
Psycho Bunny
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When this redistricting takes affect, Al Green will be fighting for his life.
All the gods, all the heavens, all the hells are within you. Joseph Campbell

My paycheck goes to my wife's shopping addiction, red bull and nicotine.
Kunkle for Congress TX-34
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Mac94 said:

The focus districts from the list of "flipped" CDs in the post above are CD 28 and CD34

Looking at the 22G data CD28 went to the dem candidate for Gov, Lt Gov, and AG by 10+ percentage points ... and as I noted CD34 was about 1% either way.

All the other districts were pretty solid one way or the other in the 22G data. So those two districts are most likely to determine whether it's +5, +4, or +3



The further north CD34 goes, the better it bodes for Rs imo.

New CD34 will gain R votes from Nueces County while dropping the Hidalgo County Dem votes in the western part of the current district.

I would put it at R+6, on this map, but due to it being midterms, anything could happen.
"Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of Congress. But I repeat myself."
txags92
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Psycho Bunny said:

When this redistricting takes affect, Al Green will be fighting for his life.

MAROON
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TX-09 is Al Green. That would be so great if that serial impeacher was voted out of office.
What do you boys want for breakfast BBQ ?.....OK Chili.
will25u
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shiftyandquick
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It's destructive for democracy for states to go about gerrymandering the districts. And it's especially destructive if the gerrymandering escalates with more tit for tat. It makes people feel like their votes don't matter, and everything is gamed (which is true).
 
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