Holy cow! We drove over that bridge this morning and didn't think there was a chance is was going to reach the bridge!
TXAG 05 said:htownag10 said:
Report just came out that the Guadalupe River is expected to reach flood stage 37 ft by 2 am at Spring Branch. It will likely cover 281. The crest is expected to be 10 ft higher than '98
Yikes. I'm from New Braunfels and still have vivid memories of the 98 flood. This is just beyond imagination.
HTownAg98 said:
Anyone seeing what they're expecting to happen at Canyon Lake? I know Buchanan is expected to fill to normal pool, and Travis will rise about 7'-8'.
The guy on KSAT12 is saying it was under water at a 27' stage in the previous flood. If they rebuilt it higher since then, he is apparently not aware of it.Doc Hayworth said:
The new bridge on 281 over the Guadalupe River is 70' above normal flows. I can't see the river getting up high enough to go over that bridge.
I may be wrong, but I just googled the height of that bridge and that's the height it gave me.
Yes, lowest I've ever seen it by about 15 ft. Haven't been able to get the boat in the water for almost 2 years due to all nearby ramps being closed.riverrataggie said:
Isn't the lake about 45% full? Bc it's about to be 90-100%. It can catch a lot of water.
Cromagnum said:HTownAg98 said:
Anyone seeing what they're expecting to happen at Canyon Lake? I know Buchanan is expected to fill to normal pool, and Travis will rise about 7'-8'.
Canyon Lake and Lake Buchanan are about to catch a whole lot of water. Travis will get less but more than its gotten in a really long time.
I don't see how it can be that high.Doc Hayworth said:
The new bridge on 281 over the Guadalupe River is 70' above normal flows. I can't see the river getting up high enough to go over that bridge.
I may be wrong, but I just googled the height of that bridge and that's the height it gave me.
Just spoke to my FIL and BIL who cross that bridge semi-regularly and they agree with the KSAT guy about the height being 25-30 above normal flow. Are you sure you are talking about the same bridge on 281?htownag10 said:
Yeah I'm trying to see where KSAT got their info from. I can't find anything on the height of the bridge.
It won't be over the highway at 281 if it crests at 37 feet. The flood of 1978 crested at 45+ feet and barely went over. The flood of 2002 crested at 44.2 ft and just lapped at the bottom. If you're getting your info from KSAT12 those people have no clue about the Spring Branch area. The weather man Adam Caskey was talking about flooding in our area and said the river will be 10 feet over the bridge and identified an area across 281 from us and just south of the river, The River Crossing sub, and saying if you're in this area you need to think about evacuating because this land slopes toward the river and will easily fill in. The only problem is the land that slopes toward the river is a huge field on the NORTH side of the river, The south bank is a cliff that drops about 50 feet straight down. One of their reporters was on Spring Branch Road and was pointing out a low water crossing and said the water will be over this area sometime tonight. The only problem? The low water crossing was on Spring Branch road but was 3 miles south of the river and about a mile north of HWY46. Then they kept going on SB road and stopped at low water crossing near 281 and showed Spring Branch Creek flowing under the bridge and said before long this will be a roaring stream and unpassable. The problem? Spring Branch creek is a spring fed creek that runs INTO the Guadalupe about a mile south of the low water bridge.UntoldSpirit said:
If the river really crests 37 feet at Spring Branch, it will be way way over the highway at the Guadalupe river bridge on 281. The 281 bridge would seem to be in jeopardy.
I'm coming to the conclusion that they are just generalizing the info.txags92 said:Just spoke to my FIL and BIL who cross that bridge semi-regularly and they agree with the KSAT guy about the height being 25-30 above normal flow. Are you sure you are talking about the same bridge on 281?htownag10 said:
Yeah I'm trying to see where KSAT got their info from. I can't find anything on the height of the bridge.
OK. Keep in mind, he is probably using the river gauge that is a bit downstream when he says 27 feet, I think. I believe he is saying that when that gauge was at 27 ft, the water upstream got up to the bridge, I believe. I suppose that doesn't necessarily mean that it was the same level at the 281 bridge.Gunny456 said:
He is wrong. It came no where near the 281 bridge in 1998 at 27' feet. In 1978 it crested at 45.25 ft and drift/logs built up at the top of the old metal bridge and caused the water to go across the bridge roadway slightly…I witnessed it that night standing on the roadway by the bridge as we lived downstream from the bridge about 3-4 miles and water was in our house about 4' deep at that time.
FWIW, the level at the FM474 crossing (49.15) is 10' above where it was in 2018. The gauge page for the next gauge down stream at Spring Branch doesn't show the crest elevation from 2018, so no way to compare the two to know what to expect.UntoldSpirit said:OK. Keep in mind, he is probably using the river gauge that is a bit downstream when he says 27 feet, I think. I believe he is saying that when that gauge was at 27 ft, the water upstream got up to the bridge, I believe. I suppose that doesn't necessarily mean that it was the same level at the 281 bridge.Gunny456 said:
He is wrong. It came no where near the 281 bridge in 1998 at 27' feet. In 1978 it crested at 45.25 ft and drift/logs built up at the top of the old metal bridge and caused the water to go across the bridge roadway slightly…I witnessed it that night standing on the roadway by the bridge as we lived downstream from the bridge about 3-4 miles and water was in our house about 4' deep at that time.
I will take your word for it about the 45 feet, but it may well get that high or higher this time.
Catastrophic flooding occurring across portions of the Texas Hill Country this July 4th. The Llano River in Llano, TX is currently (as of 5pm) flowing at over 109,000 cubic feet per second, when 5 hours ago it was about 500. #TXwx @TxStormChasers pic.twitter.com/wLT5pEcG5T
— Clint Hendricks IV (@Clint_wx) July 4, 2025
I missed this broadcast, but that's hilarious. We live just off SBR in Rivermont.Rattler12 said:It won't be over the highway at 281 if it crests at 37 feet. The flood of 1978 crested at 45+ feet and barely went over. The flood of 2002 crested at 44.2 ft and just lapped at the bottom. If you're getting your info from KSAT12 those people have no clue about the Spring Branch area. The weather man Adam Caskey was talking about flooding in our area and said the river will be 10 feet over the bridge and identified an area across 281 from us and just south of the river, The River Crossing sub, and saying if you're in this area you need to think about evacuating because this land slopes toward the river and will easily fill in. The only problem is the land that slopes toward the river is a huge field on the NORTH side of the river, The south bank is a cliff that drops about 50 feet straight down. One of their reporters was on Spring Branch Road and was pointing out a low water crossing and said the water will be over this area sometime tonight. The only problem? The low water crossing was on Spring Branch road but was 3 miles south of the river and about a mile north of HWY46. Then they kept going on SB road and stopped at low water crossing near 281 and showed Spring Branch Creek flowing under the bridge and said before long this will be a roaring stream and unpassable. The problem? Spring Branch creek is a spring fed creek that runs INTO the Guadalupe about a mile south of the low water bridge.UntoldSpirit said:
If the river really crests 37 feet at Spring Branch, it will be way way over the highway at the Guadalupe river bridge on 281. The 281 bridge would seem to be in jeopardy.
Equinox said:Catastrophic flooding occurring across portions of the Texas Hill Country this July 4th. The Llano River in Llano, TX is currently (as of 5pm) flowing at over 109,000 cubic feet per second, when 5 hours ago it was about 500. #TXwx @TxStormChasers pic.twitter.com/wLT5pEcG5T
— Clint Hendricks IV (@Clint_wx) July 4, 2025