Deluxe said:
Ag Natural said:
I havent watched a ton of Thunder games. So is SA just a bad match up or what? They supposed to be one of the best teams ever.
It's possible. I'm not sure yet.
OKC is perfectly built for an 82 game sample size. By the end of the year, they'll be 8-10 games clear of the rest of the west. They're young. Tons of depth. Well coached. Have a built in +10 edge every night in terms of points off turnovers (avg). Have a superstar to plug gaps.
They make alot of their bread and butter against the low/mid tier NBA teams early in the second quarter when they unleash fresh Caruso and Cason on second/third string ball-handlers. They put alot of games out of reach early and therefore get the benefit of resting SGA in alot of fourth quarters. It's pretty uncanny how effortlessly they take care of business against lesser teams.
But the more the sample size shrinks and the higher the level of competition gets, the more teams like DEN, SA and maybe HOU can give them problems. OKC is far from a lock from winning the title, though I'd still probably call them the favorites because I think snatching home court from them will be tough.
When all the ebbs and flows of an 82 game schedule get put aside and it's OKC's best vs SA/DEN/HOU's best in a physical, slowed down series, the Thunder have exploitable flaws. SGA has to work alot harder. Jdub and Chet are really good but inconsistent and unreliable in terms of living up to their billing. Dort can be virtually unplayable at times. Cason, Caruso and Hart are all good players but not reliable offensively every night.
If I was to "make excuses" for tonight's game specifically, three of their four losses this year have come in the second night of road back-to-backs (the Vegas loss being the lone exception). Granted I'm pretty sure tonight is the first time they've lost by more than five. A total beatdown.
Jdub also hasn't played very well since returning from injury. Maybe he needs a little more time but each passing game leaves me more skeptical of him taking that next step to being a clear-cut top 10-15 guy. Ajay has been a more trustworthy second-playmaker option so far this year but he was out tonight.
I think this is pretty spot on.
SGA is their primary playmaker, but he is primarily a scorer first. JDub hasn't been as good this year and Ajay was out. And I think the ball movement being down was obvious.
I think the Spurs play SGA WAY differently than everyone else by giving him more room and just having him make his shots. He's still going to convert at a high rate, but the Spurs aren't going to get in foul trouble and SGA isn't going to get the FTs he is used to. Smart, disciplined defense.
Then there is the Wemby effect. SGA challenged Wemby a few times in the paint, but overall, Chet melted and OKC avoided the paint. Spurs are able to play better man defense around the perimeter and limit the wide open shots. Both teams shot extremely well. OKC shot 54/40/86 and lost by 20.
But the big factors were that OKC was below their season averages in assists, FTA, steals, and blocks.
I think the way the Spurs play by giving SGA space plus the outrage by Chris Finch, all the talking heads, and fans has led to the NBA refs reevaluating SGA's foul baiting and OKC's defense. There were so many hacks across the arms in the previous game that weren't called that were getting called in this game. Because Mitch Johnson (got a tech last game) and Chris Finch (Minnesota's HC was ejected in the first few minutes the other day after the refs wouldn't call blatantly obvious fouls on OKC.)
If OKC can't get away with some of the physical defense they have been used to getting away with, their defense becomes less effective. And OKC is actually not good at drawing fouls outside of SGA. SGA is an elite foul baiter, (LeBron recently compared him to Harden, and didnt mean it the way I would mean it) but the rest of the team doesn't get the calls that way. The Spurs are obviously playing SGA tough, but with room for him to get off his shot so he can't bait the refs. And things like him kicking his legs out into Harper in the previous game are things that should be an offensive foul when Harper was staying 3 feet away from him. You can't give SGA a punt returner's halo, but that's almost what the refs have mandated.
OKC has a great coach and great depth and will adjust. But if they aren't getting away with the physical defense they are used to and SGA can't bait the calls he is used to, they do lose a lot of advantages the team has.