EastCoastAgNc said:
https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6719990/2025/10/27/mlb-free-agents-2025-contract-team-predictions/
Tucker projected to get 10/$427m. Framber projected to get 6/$190m
1. Kyle Tucker, RF
Age: 28
Bats: L Throws: R
2025 bWAR: 4.5
2025 team: Chicago Cubs
Salary comps: Juan Soto 15-years, $765 million; Shohei Ohtani 10-years, $700 million; Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 14-years, $500 million; Mike Trout 12-years, $426 million; Mookie Betts 12-years, $365 million; Aaron Judge 9-years, $360 million
Best team fits: Dodgers, Yankees, Mets, Phillies, Giants
Contract prediction: 10-years, $427 million
4. Framber Valdez, LHP
Age: 32
2025 bWAR: 3.8
2025 team: Houston Astros
Salary comps: Garrett Crochet 6-years, $170 million; Tyler Glasnow 5-years, $136.5 million; Carlos Rodn 6-years, $162 million; Blake Snell 5-years, $182 million
Best team fits: Astros, Orioles, Mets, Braves, Cubs, Padres, Giants
Contract prediction: 6-years, $190 million
5. Bo Bichette, SS
Age: 27
Bats: R Throws: R
2025 bWAR: 3.4
2025 team: Toronto Blue Jays
Salary comps: Willy Adames 7-years, $182 million; Dansby Swanson 7-years, $177 million; Marcus Semien 7-years, $175 million; Matt Chapman 6-years, $151 million
Best team fits: Blue Jays, Red Sox, Tigers, Yankees, Phillies, Dodgers, Cubs, Mariners, Mets
Contract prediction: 7-years, $189 million
Bo isn't directly relevant to us this offseason, but you have to expect Pena is keeping an eye on his contract. If Bo is getting 7/189 at 27 (same as Pena), then extension talks will need to be buyout 2 years of arb plus 5 years of 27 AAV. That comes to about 7/155.
6. Alex Bregman, 3B (opt-out)
Age: 31
Bats: R Throws: R
2025 bWAR: 3.5
2025 team: Boston Red Sox
Salary comps: Matt Chapman 6-years, $151 million; Willy Adames 7-years, $182 million; Rafael Devers 10-years, $313.5 million; Anthony Rendon 7-years, $245 million; Nolan Arenado 8-years, $260 million; Jos Ramrez 7-years, $141 million
Best team fits: Red Sox, Tigers, Yankees, Phillies, Dodgers, Cubs, Mariners, Mets
Contract prediction: 6-years, $182 million
Bregman had a great season, but he's no spring chicken. I could see him getting 6/156 (Astros offer) again. If you factor in last season it comes to 7/188 after laving Houston. That's respectable.
7. Ranger Surez, LHP
Age: 30
2025 bWAR: 4.7
2025 team: Philadelphia Phillies
Best team fits: Phillies, Mets, Braves, Orioles, Cubs, Padres, Giants, Astros, Tigers
Contract prediction: 6-years, $164 million
8. Dylan Cease, RHP
Age: 30
2025 bWAR: 1.1
2025 team: San Diego Padres
Best team fits: Padres, Braves, Mets, Orioles, Cubs, Giants, Angels, Red Sox, Tigers
Contract prediction: 6-years, $187 million
9. Tatsuya Imai, RHP
Age: 27
2025 team: Saitama Seibu Lions (Nippon Professional Baseball)
Best team fits: Mets, Giants, Red Sox, Cubs, Orioles, Astros, Padres
Contract prediction: 7-years, $154 million
13. Michael King, RHP (mutual option)
Age: 30
2025 bWAR: 1.2
That said, if the medicals are completely clear, I could see him getting a five-year deal in the $140 million range.
Salary comps: Nathan Eovaldi 3-years, $75 million; Sonny Gray 3-years, $75 million; Yusei Kikuchi 3-years, $63.68 million
Best team fits: Padres, Yankees, Orioles, Braves, Mets, Cubs, Angels, Astros, Tigers, Red Sox
Contract prediction: 3-years, $75 million
King would be an awesome pick-up if you trusted the arm moving forward. I like him best out of any of the FA arms.
16. Shane Bieber, RHP
Age: 30
2025 bWAR: 0.7
2025 team: Cleveland Guardians/Toronto Blue Jays
Salary comps: Seth Lugo 2-years, $46 million; Sonny Gray 3-years, $75 million; Nathan Eovaldi 3-years, $75 million; Yusei Kikuchi 3-years, $66.38 million
Best team fits: Blue Jays, Guardians, Red Sox, Braves, Giants, Orioles, Mets, Astros
Contract prediction: 3-years, $75 million with a player opt-out after each yearThe mid-tier SP market might be the way to go. Lugo, Gray, Eovaldi, & Kikuchi all look like reasonable deals.
22. Jorge Polanco, 2B
Age: 32
Bats: B Throws: R
2025 bWAR: 2.6
2025 team: Seattle Mariners
Salary comps: Gleyber Torres 1-year, $15 million; Jeff McNeil 4-years, $50 million; Brandon Lowe 4-years, $24 million, Ha-Seong Kim 3-years, $12.5 million; Thairo Estrada 1-year, $4 million
Best team fits: Mariners, Astros, White Sox, Rockies, Giants
Contract Prediction: 2-years, $26 millionI think 2/26 is selling him short. I could easily see more like 3/45-50. He had a monster year.
23. J.T. Realmuto, C
Age: 34
Bats: R Throws: R
2025 bWAR: 2.6
2025 team: Philadelphia Phillies
Salary comps: Salvador Perez 4-years, $82 million; Sean Murphy 6-years, $73 million; Mitch Garver 2-years, $24 million
Best team fits: Phillies, Padres
Contract prediction: 2-years, $34 million He's a shell of himself, but I wouldn't had a vet like this to pair with Yainer. The price tag would have to come down tho.
34. Brad Keller, RHP
Age: 30
2025 bWAR: 1.5
2025 team: Chicago Cubs
Salary comps: Tommy Kahnle 1-year, $7.75 million; Kyle Finnegan 1-year, $6 million; Gregory Soto 1-year, $5.35 million; Matt Strahm 1-year, $7.5 million; Paul Sewald 1-year, $7 million; Ryan Brasier 2-years, $18 million; Jos Leclerc 1-year, $10 million
Best team fits: Cubs, Dodgers, Mets, Braves, Phillies, Cardinals, Tigers, Astros
Contract prediction: 2-years, $15 million
38. Justin Verlander, RHP
Age: 42
2025 bWAR: 1.2
2025 team: San Francisco Giants
Best team fits: Tigers (so he can retire as a Tiger), Giants
Contract prediction: 1-year, $12 million
Screw the Tigers. Let him retire as an Astro. Give him the Clemens treatment.
43. Jack Flaherty, RHP
Age: 30
2025 bWAR: 0.9
2025 team: Detroit Tigers
Salary comps: Matthew Boyd 2-years, $29 million; Germn Mrquez 2-years, $20 million; Tyler Mahle 2-years, $22 million
Best team fits: Tigers, Angels, Brewers
Contract prediction: 2-years, $22 million
44. Brandon Woodruff, RHP
Age: 32
2025 bWAR: 1.3
2025 team: Milwaukee Brewers
Salary comps: Matthew Boyd 2-years, $29 million; Germn Mrquez 2-years, $20 million; Tyler Mahle 2-years, $22 million
Best team fits: Brewers, Rangers
Contract prediction: 2-years, $22 millionThese both feel like absolute steals. SP market is really deep this year.